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Switzerland in Iraq 04.24.03
K. George

National Review Online's editor-at- large Jonah Goldberg, a self-confessed Swissophile, says the country renowned for its scenic vistas and chocolates and resolutely neutral in international affairs is an ideal model for Iraq:

"Switzerland is peaceful now, but it was formed by warring tribes of Germans, Italians, French, and Romansch, and divided along religious lines in a strategically vital region of Europe not unlike Iraq's place in the Middle East. It seems to me the Swiss model is almost precisely what the Iraqis need."
Goldberg would graft a Swiss style federal system onto Iraq with a "strong bill of rights and legal system" built in to protect the rights of minority groups and to keep centrifugal forces in check so the country doesn't "fly apart" like Lebanon did in the 1980s. A federalized Iraq would be divided into numerous cantons that would be largely self-governing on local matters. Goldberg has reservations about creating one big Shia canton. Rather, he wants the Shiites to be divided within 9 or 10 cantons corresponding to "internal divisions" within the Shia community. And of course the Kurds and Sunnis would have an indeterminate number of cantons of their own.

In Goldberg's view, more cantons would mean more politicians and that is a good thing:

"If we slice up Iraq into a bunch of different cantons, each local area will produce its own politicians, who will inevitably point out the flaws of other politicians. That's good stuff. The more bickering the better, because that forces honesty and accountability (something people who want more bipartisanship in America should realize)."

Bases in Iraq? 04.22.03
K. George

A number of news organizations report the U.S. plans to establish up to four military bases in Iraq as"part of a redeployment of forces which can transform its capability to wield power in West Asia."

According to the New York Times, the bases planned for Iraq are part of a larger expansion of American military presence on a scale unprecedented in modern history:

"...it is plain that since Sept. 11, 2001, there has been a concerted diplomatic and military effort to win permission for U.S. forces to operate from the formerly communist nations of Eastern Europe, across the Mediterranean, throughout the Middle East and the Horn of Africa, and across Central Asia, from the periphery of Russia to Pakistan's ports on the Indian Ocean."


A Blog for Iraq 04.17.03
K. George

Blogger Jeff Jarvis (BuzzMachine, War In Iraq weblog) wants to enlist fellow bloggers to help Iraq start "weblog newspapers." Writes Jarvis:

"The beauty of weblogging is that it is the world's cheapest -- no, history's cheapest -- means of publishing. Weblogging brings the power of the press down to the people. And these people need it. Of course, the audience in Iraq would be small at the start: tiny. But the audience who can connect in Iraq and the audience elsewhere in the world who read this would be influential. Thus Iraqis would gain a voice in their country and in the world. And this instant free press would exercise muscles of expression that have atrophied in Iraq. It would teach them how to report and comment and how to find the truth from beyond their borders."

13 Points 04.16.03
K. George

Jay Garner, the Pentagon's point man for administering post-war Iraq, unveiled a rather Wilsonian-sounding "13 points" for forming a new government in Iraq at a meeting yesterday with representatives from the country's various political, religious, and ethnic groups.

Here are all 13, courtesy of the Guardian:

1. Iraq must be democratic.
2. A future government should not be based on communal identity.
3. A future government should be organised as a democratic federal system, but on the basis of countrywide consultation.
4. The rule of law must be paramount.
5. Iraq must be built on respect for diversity, including respect for the role of women.
6. The meeting discussed the role of religion in state and society.
7. The meeting discussed the principle that Iraqis must choose their leaders, not have them imposed from outside.
8. That political violence must be rejected and that Iraqis must immediately organise themselves for the task of reconstruction at both local and national levels.
9. That Iraqis and the coalition must work together to tackle the immediate issues of restoring security and basic services.
10. That the Ba'ath party must be dissolved and its effect on society must be eliminated.
11. That there should be an open dialogue with all national political groups to bring them into the process.
12. That the meeting condemned the looting which had taken place and the destruction of documents.
13. That the Nasiriyah meeting voted to hold another meeting in 10 days in a location to be determined with additional Iraqi participants to discuss procedures for developing an Iraqi interim authority.

Cultural Tragedy 04.15.03
K. George

The photograph says it all. The man sits on an ancient stone tablet, head in hands in a gesture of grief, debris at his feet. He works -- or did work -- at Iraq's national museum in Baghdad -- a repository of Mesopotamian artifacts. During hours of frenzied looting, cultural treasures were pillaged from museums and libraries across Iraq. What couldn't be taken was destroyed. The floor of the national museum is carpeted with shards of smashed pottery and tablets, and decapitated statues. Reuter's reports priceless antiquities like the Vase of Uruk and the Harp of Ur are gone.

In other parts of Baghdad, Iraq's history was being consigned to flames. In a piece for the Independent, Robert Fisk describes the looting and burning of Iraq's national library and the Library of the Korans. He writes of finding historical documents scattered in the streets:

"Amid the ashes of Iraqi history, I found a file blowing in the wind outside: pages of handwritten letters between the court of Sharif Hussein of Mecca, who started the Arab revolt against the Turks for Lawrence of Arabia, and the Ottoman rulers of Baghdad."

Part of the world's cultural heritage has been irreparably lost by this plundering of Iraqi antiquities says Paul Zimansky, Professor of Archeology at Boston University. Zimansky says the loss is on a scale comparable to the ransacking of Constantinople by the Crusaders and the burning of the Library of Alexandria.

The U.S. has been criticized for not doing enough to prevent or stop the looting. A criticism echoed by Zimansky:

"This is a terrific black eye for the United States. It's something we're going to have difficulty living down -- not just for the next couple of years but for centuries. This is going to be remembered. This is the kind of thing that is a permanent mark. That it's going to be there long after Saddam and Bush and the politics of our age are footnotes."

Is Syria Next? 04.14.03
K. George

Is Syria next after Iraq?

The Bush administration has hurled diplomatic brickbats at Iraq's Ba'athist neighbor, accusing the government of President qua dictator Bashar al-Assad of sheltering remnants of Saddam's regime and manufacturing chemical weapons. And although it is not included in the troika of "Axis of Evil" countries, "rolling back" Syria has long been advocated by Richard Perle, one of the intellectual architects of President Bush's approach to Iraq. Also, Capital Hill lawmakers say they will file a bill that, if passed, will allow the president "to impose sanctions if Damascus fails to meet US demands."

House of Cards 04.14.03
K. George

The Pentagon gave its troops in Iraq decks of playing cards bearing photographs of members of the former Ba'athist regime wanted by the United States. Saddam Hussein is pictured on the ace of spades and his youngest son, Qusay, occupies the ace of clubs. One of Hussein's loyalists perhaps most familiar to the American public due to his frequent press conferences, former Deputy Prime Minister Tariq Aziz, is the eight of spades.

According to the Hindustan Times, an organization called the Heart Care Foundation of India claims its pioneering use of playing cards as a medium for disseminating information inspired the Pentagon. "I am glad to note that U.S.-led Allied forces in Iraq have now adopted a similar strategy to capture Saddam," said the group's chairman.

The Image of Freedom 04.11.03
W. Thomson

Donald Rumsfeld today attacked the media, saying when he picked up a newspaper this morning "I couldn't believe it. I read eight headlines that talked about chaos, violence, unrest. And it just was 'henny-penny the sky was falling! I've never seen anything like it.' And here is a country that's being liberated." He characterized the vacuum of power that has swept much of Baghdad as "untidiness," a natural outcome of years of repression.

However, there is some skepticism about the images that were broadcast around the world yesterday. The close-up scene of cheering Iraqis made for dramatic television, but the shot from across the street gives a very different image - in a photo that was attributed to Reuters - and has been making the rounds of blogs, and indy-media sites.

''It's classic for TV reporting to gravitate toward iconic images,'' says Barbie Zelizer, author of ''Journalism After September 11'' and professor of communications at the University of Pennsylvania - as published on Common Dreams website.

FAIR goes farther, asking the question if the Pentagon is not merely manipulating the press, but threatening and targeting their lives.

Pre-emptive War 04.11.03
K. George

India is couching justification for a possible "pre-emptive" war against Pakistan in language that sounds like it was written by a Bush speechwriter.

India's foreign minister says the Subcontinent has a "fitter case" for military action against Pakistan than the U.S. did vis-à-vis Iraq because its Muslim neighbor "has weapons of mass destruction, shelters terrorists and lacks democracy." U.S. Secretary of State Collin Powell has rejected the parallels with Iraq, but has pledged to "stay engaged" in forging peace between the two nuclear-armed rivals.

A war of words has heated up between India and Pakistan since Muslim guerillas massacred 24 Hindu villagers in the disputed province of Kashmir last month -- an event all but eclipsed in the Western press by war in Iraq.

Baghdad Viewed from the Left 04.10.03
W. Thomson

The images of Iraqis celebrating their liberation from the Hussein regime represent not only a victory for the American military, but a victory for those who argued for the war from the beginning. It looks as if the worst fighting is over, and hawks are feeling vindicated that the dire predictions and arguments against war - broadened conflict, terrorist blowback, bloody street-to-street fighting, mass civilian deaths - have not yet occurred. William Saffire writes that this is VI Day, and the "jubilation of enslaved people tasting liberty drives home the wisdom of just wars." In a recent poll, approval of the war jumped to 77 percent.

In an article for Slate, Christopher Hitchens makes fun of protesters against the war in Iraq, writing that the their demands were met despite the war:

"No War on Iraq," they said-and there wasn't a war on Iraq. Indeed, there was barely a "war" at all. "No Blood for Oil," they cried, and the oil wealth of Iraq has been duly rescued from attempted sabotage with scarcely a drop spilled."

But the left is not universally convinced that the Monday morning quarterbacking can begin yet. Headlines on the site Antiwar.com read like a list of things that could still go wrong:

- Rumsfeld: Victory Close, But More Will Die
- Turkey Threatens as Kurds Take Kirkuk
- Returning Exiled Shi'ite Leader, Aide Killed by Mob in Najaf
- Who is Next on America's List?
- US Tells Iran, Syria, North Korea to 'Learn from Iraq'
- Much of Iraq Lies Outside Control of Allies
- Rumsfeld Tells Syria to 'Stop Helping Saddam's Regime' "

Antiwar activist and Oscar winner Michael Moore writes:

"It appears that the Bush administration will have succeeded in colonizing Iraq sometime in the next few days. This is a blunder of such magnitude -- and we will pay for it for years to come...

So, where are all those weapons of mass destruction that were the pretense for this war?"

Moveon.org has moved on, yesterday calling its members to lobby Congress to crack down on corporate tax dodgers, ducking the war altogether.

ANSWER takes a shriller tone:

"Having slaughtered and maimed thousands of Iraqi people, the U.S./British invasion forces are celebrating the use of their massive, overwhelming and brutal military power to crush resistance to their invasion of Iraq."

Political cartoonist Tom Tomorrow writes in his blog that the easy part is over, and points out that there is still a lot to be done in Iraq. "In the meantime, congratulations. You've just adopted approximately 23 million Iraqis."

Poll Position 04.10.03
K. George

The president is reaping a political boost from the war in Iraq. The most recent Gallup Poll has his approval rating an impressive 70%, and according to a USA Today/CNN/Gallup Poll, 76% of the American public believe the "current situation in Iraq is worth going to war over." Still, as Bush Senior discovered, the political benefits of battlefield victories can prove ephemeral -- especially if the nation's economy continues to head south.

Dems Meet 04.10.03
K. George

War coverage is sucking up all the oxygen in the media universe so it is no surprise that all the Democratic presidential aspirants appearing together for the first time got little ink or airplay. Of course, given the strong anti-war stances of some of the candidates -- which are at variance with current polls showing overwhelming public support for the war -- lack of publicity is perhaps a bit of a blessing. Especially on a day cable news networks are airing ad infinitum video of jubilant Iraqis cheering the toppling of a statue of Saddam Hussein.

There was little new at last evening's candidates' forum sponsored by the Children's Defense Fund. The contenders emphasized issues Democrats traditionally run strong on such as health care and education, and were split on the war.

The most vociferously pro-war, Joe Lieberman and John Edwards, seized on the crumbling of Saddam Hussein's regime to hawk their support for the war and the troops. "History teaches us that if you leave a brutal, immoral dictator with weapons of mass destruction, eventually he will use them," said Lieberman who helped craft a resolution authorizing force to remove Saddam Hussein from power. Edwards, who voted for the resolution, was equally unequivocal, "I not only support the troops, we all do, I also support the cause."

Most of the anti-candidates held to their views -- events in Baghdad notwithstanding -- but had "little to say" about the war.

Former Vermont Governor Howard Dean, a war opponent who has criticized Massachusetts Senator John Kerry for allegedly being unclear in his position on Iraq, did acknowledge the war ended the government of Saddam Hussein. Observed Dean, "We've gotten rid of him. I suppose that's a good thing." Dean did criticize the financial burdens imposed by the war, a theme echoed by Kerry.

Googling the Opposition 04.9.03
K. George

I used my favorite search engine Google, to learn more about key Iraqi opposition groups. As a starting point I "Googled" the "six main Iraqi factions" that have received funds from the U.S. government. Click on the appropriate link below to obtain more information about a group or its leader.

Google Search Results http://www.google.com/:
Organization Leader
Iraqi National Congress Ahmed Chalabi
Constitutional Monarchy Movement Sharif Ali bin Al-Hussein
Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq Mohammed Baquir al-Hakim
Kurdistan Democratic Party Massoud Barzani
Patriotic Union of Kurdistan Jalal Talabani
Iraqi National Accord Ayad Allawi

Google News Search Results http://news.google.com/:
Organization Leader
Iraqi National Congress Ahmed Chalabi
Constitutional Monarchy Movement Sharif Ali bin Al-Hussein
Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq Mohammed Baquir al-Hakim
Kurdistan Democratic Party Massoud Barzani
Patriotic Union of Kurdistan Jalal Talabani
Iraqi National Accord Ayad Allawi

The Man who Would be President? 04.8.03
K. George

Ahmed Chalabi, banker cum opposition leader, and aspiring head of a post-Saddam government is back on Iraqi soil for the first time in decades.

His fitness for the role is subject of much intense debate and speculation -- even within the Bush administration. The Pentagon and its neoconservative allies, in casting about for "our man in Baghdad" see Chalabi fitting the bill. Not only is he ideologically well-credentialed, moving in similar circles as Perle, Wolfowitz, Cheney et al (and like Jay Garner has ties with the conservative Jewish Institute for National Security Affairs), he heads an opposition group -- the London Based Iraqi National Congress -- and hails from a prestigious Shi'ia family.

Max Singer, Chalabi backer and senior fellow at the Hudson Institute penned a case for Chalabi in a National Review piece published last June:

"Chalabi is a modern man of the West, who founded a successful software company in London and who understands democracy deep in his bones. What makes him truly exceptional is that he also continues to be deeply a man of the East, with the sensibilities and loyalties of his ancient Baghdad Arab and Muslim roots."

"With support from the CIA and more than $10 million of his own and his family's money, Chalabi's INC created an open political opposition movement in northern Iraq from 1993-1996, operating newspapers, radio stations, and a lively political process involving Iraqis from all parts of the country. It also created a small military force that succeeded — with help from one of the Kurdish militias — in attacking and destroying two divisions of the Iraqi army."

Iraqi Interim Leader in Waiting: Jay Garner 04.8.03
W. Thomson

Meet the next leader of Iraq: Jay Garner, a 64-year-old with a background in both sides of the porous public-private world of national defense and corporate defense contracting. Until Donald Rumsfeld tapped Garner to govern in the aftermath of the war, he was president of L3, missile guidance systems supplier to the Pentagon, and before that, a general in the Army.

Fortune Magazine writes that he is "an almost perfect fit for the job." Garner says his success will be measured by how quickly he's out, and Iraq is handed over to Iraqis, but Garner's critics feel that any time he spends as head of Iraq sends the wrong message.

The Guardian writes, "There is no argument among Arab opinion formers, who with rare unanimity have been condemning his appointment as another sign of American contempt for Iraqi feelings." A profile in Al Jazeera focuses on Garner's tight ties to the Israeli military and a statement he signed that lays blame on Palestinians for recent violence.

Garner's top qualification is his work in military administration of humanitarian assistance, under Operation Provide Comfort, to Kurds in Northern Iraq after the first Gulf War in 1991.

Media Backlash 04.7.03
W. Thomson

Recently, the peace group Move-On directed its members to write their local newspapers, taking the oldest form of affecting what appears in the paper: Letters to the Editor. Other groups are going farther, lobbying to change the tone of coverage from the front page to the hourly newscast. Following the lead of the Pentagon and PR firms, anti-war activists have realized that winning means victory in the propaganda war.

The online news site, Indymedia allows users to document their own actions, and in theory does an end-run around the traditional channels. GNN has the slick look of a corporate news station. At the same time, activists are getting smarter about how to get their messages through to traditional media, training to write press releases, speak in soundbites, and give a good television interview.

The long running argument over liberal or conservative bias in the media is giving way to those who hope to influence how the stories are told and adopt the tactics of lobbyists, not media critics.

A Scene From Hell 04.7.03
K. George

The convoy of Kurdish fighters with American Special Forces escorts had just wound its way to the top of a hill above the town of Dibagah in northern Iraq when all hell broke loose. Two American F-14s "came in low," one dropped a bomb, and a roar and flash later 18 on the ground were dead, the worst "friendly fire" incident of the war to date. The BBC's John Simpson was 10 yards from where the bomb fell. Bleeding from shrapnel wounds, and with one of his eardrums perforated, Simpson filed a live report from the scene literally moments after the explosion:

"This is a scene from hell. All the vehicles are on fire. There are bodies burning around me, there are bodies lying around, there are bits of bodies on the ground."
You can listen to Simpson's report on the BBC's website. They also have a link to a televised report with footage of the aftermath of the explosion. The video is harrowing. Despite being struck in the face, and with blood dripping on the camera's lens, Simpson's cameraman had the presence of mind to keep taping. Bodies are visible on the ground, trucks are aflame and an audible crackling sound is ammunition detonating in cargo holds. The camera then follows the near breathless Simpson as he searches for his Kurdish translator. He soon finds him sprawled on the grass, fatally wounded.

Hearts and Minds 04.4.03
K. George

Through centuries of empire building, the Brits have apparently fine-tuned the science of winning the hearts and minds of subjugated peoples. Colonel Philip Wilkinson, formerly of Her Majesty's Royal Army, distills the essence of the British approach:

"First, we have football matches, then we have tea parties, and then somehow our soldiers go out and meet the local ladies."

Now some in the British press have glommed on to this theme -- minus the ladies and tea parties-- and are regaling the British public with stories of barrette clad troops engaging the local lads in a friendly game of football (soccer). And pointed contrasts are made with the American grunts, cap-a-pie in body armor, warily keeping their distance from Iraqi civilians. Says one Royal Marine quoted in the Evening Standard:

"We want to show that we are here as liberators, not conquerors. The football match was a marvellous confidence-building measure. Now we patrol in berets, rather than helmets, we never fly our flag and we try to look as unwarlike as possible."
The Brits have even taken to calling their American counterparts "Ninja Turtles." (a.k.a. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles). A nickname coined because the American troops in full battle regale resemble those irascible pop icons that fell out of favor among the prepubescent set in the early '90s.

Taking on the World's Burden 04.4.03
W. Thomson

In the left-leaning Israeli daily Haaretz, Ari Shavit lays responsibility for the war on Iraq on a handful of neoconservative thinkers and a village mentality that prevails in Washington, the "small town that happens to run an empire." He writes that in the Washington mindset, the war is less about regime change within the borders of Iraq than about changing the dynamics of the region. "This war will enhance the place of America in the world for the coming generation," the author quotes Charles Krauthammer, summing up both the ideology and the optimism of many in DC.

Other conservatives are counting on the war to redraw the power map of the Middle East from Iran to OPEC.

An Indian commentator suggests the strategy is a risky miscalculation. "It is fairly certain that the foundations of a new, highly unstable international political and economic order have been laid," writes Ashish Vachhani. According to his interpretation, the United States has seized the responsibility for maintaining global stability by undermining international law and organizations. How long it can support the new order will rely on the nation's ability to coerce, convince, and complete its goals, but it won't have the international community to fall back on if it fails.

Dueling Fatwas 04.4.03
K. George

There is confusion swirling around claims that a fatwa -- religious degree -- was issued by Iraq's supreme Shi'ia cleric, the Grand Ayatollah Mirza Ali Sistani. The fatwa instructed Iraqi Muslims to stay in their homes and not impede any of the coalition forces. If true, this would contradict a fatwa allegedly decreed by the ayatollah earlier this week commanding Muslims to fight "infidel followers who have invaded our homeland."

Yesterday, the U.S said the cleric had issued the fatwa instructing his followers not to resist. Now, there are reports that the ayatollah denies issuing this second fatwa.

Relief 04.3.03
K. George

Franklin Graham, son of prominent evangelist Billy Graham, garnered notoriety last year when he called the Islamic faith "wicked, violent and not of the same god." Despite his reservations about the monotheistic cousin to Judaism and Christianity, Franklin Graham wants the relief agency he runs to distribute aid in Iraq.

Some American Muslim groups are appalled.

"It's particularly disturbing that a group headed by a man who openly states he believes the faith of Islam is evil would enter into a Muslim country in the wake of an invading army," said Ibrahim Hooper, spokesmen for The Council on American-Islamic Relations.

In an opinion piece in MSNBC.com, Ira Rifkin warns that evangelical groups like Graham's that want to rush to the aid of the Iraqis would incite Muslims:

"The problem is the handouts will come with not-so-subtle Christian proselytizing. In the Muslim world, that will only strengthen the belief there that the attack on Iraq is, above all else, an attack on Islam."
Cheering Crowds 04.3.03
K. George

Much has been made about anticipated cheering crowds of Iraqis greeting coalition troops. And there has been quite a bit of speculation in the media about why the crowds failed to materialize.

Today's Washington Post reports that some "jubilant" (and presumably cheering) crowds did greet U.S. soldiers in Najaf:

"An enthusiastic welcome for U.S. forces in Najaf turned jubilant today, as several thousand Iraqis braved sporadic firefights for what one Special Forces officer described as "the Macy's Day parade," applauding a U.S. patrol that pushed close to a religious shrine at the center of the city."

Protest Strip 04.3.03
K. George

"The Boondocks" doesn't pull its political punches and last Saturday's strip was apparently too provocative for a number of newspapers -- including the Boston Globe -- that declined to run it.

Superimposed over the panel was a message from "The Boondocks" creator Aaron McGruder stating his opposition to President Bush and the war in Iraq and "the continued production of movies starring Cuba Gooding Jr." Click here to view the entire strip.

Politics on the funny pages is obviously nothing new. Doonesbury has been a thorn in conservative sides for decades -- and some newspapers have exiled it to the editorial pages. On the right, the irrepressible Mallard Fillmore pokes fun of various and sundry liberal icons. Further back, the denizens of Walt Kelly's Okefenokee Swamp satirized political figures of his day. For example, a wolf called "Simple Joe Malarkey" was clearly modeled after Joe McCarthy. Even as innocuous a cartoon as "Annie" delved into politics. In the 1930s, some newspapers refused to run the strip because of cartoonists Harold Gray's "habit of using it to criticize the New Deal."

Reality War 04.2.03
W. Thomson

The median age of someone who watches CBS News: 59. MTV viewer: 22. The largest age groups on active duty in the American military are 19, 20, 21, and 22 year olds.

MTV is their network, demographically speaking, and while MTV's top headline today isn't about Iraq (It's JA RULE AIMS AT EMINEM), the section entitled At War With Iraq, brings some of the war to younger viewers. When the war broke out, MTV postponed live coverage of twenty-something college kids on vacation to cover twenty-something enlisted soldiers at war in Iraq, of whom about 70 percent don't have a college education.

Writes Aaron Ladage for the Iowa State paper:

Forget all of the political analysts and retired military officers strategizing on what the United States should do next. And eliminate CNN's embedded reporters from the battlefield. What do you have left? A ground war, fought primarily by the young people of our country. The same young people who, only a few short weeks ago, were just like any of us. They listened to music. They went to movies. They partied.

Ladage identifies MTV as a perfect vehicle to bring news to the generation who will inherit the world forged by this conflict. He calls on MTV to bring back their coverage of the war, relevant he says to this generation precisely because it is this generation who is fighting it, and "a start in educating a generation typically apathetic about world issues."

MTV has experience taking on issues beyond music videos. For the 2000 elections, MTV launched the Rock the Vote campaign, not pushing any specific political party, but the notion that young people should have a voice. MTV follows up that effort with a page on activism around the war. It publishes letters from its young viewers as well as a Take Action section that suggests if you are against the war, you can get involved with organizations like United for Peace or Move On, and if you are for the war, "You can enlist in one of the branches of the military."

War Tunes 04.1.03
K. George

Inquirer music critic Peter Dobrin dissects that aural assault that is the musical lead-in to the evening news:

CBS cues up a "surging electronic wall of sound that seems to use the beating rotors of attack helicopters as its rhythmic inspiration." While Fox prefers blaring "hard-rock instrumentals." The CNN soundtrack is a "throbbing, bellicose buildup of sounds."

The musical accompaniment to NPR's special war coverage is positively laid back by comparison and according to Dobrin, "telegraphs the idea that something important is about to be said, without being especially militaristic, patriotic or mournful."

Russian Intelligence 04.1.03
K. George

A blogger who calls himself "Venik" posts what he claims are English translations of actual Russian military intelligence reports on the war. You can read them at http://www2.iraqwar.ru/?userlang=en.

Venik says the reports come via an anonymous source within the GRU, Russia's "military-intelligence arm."

A post from yesterday claims that coalition casualties are higher than what has been reported by the American and British press:

"Based on the radio intercepts and internal information networks of the US field hospitals as of this morning the coalition losses include no less than 100 killed US servicemen and at least 35 dead British soldiers. Additionally, some 22 American and 11 British soldiers are officially considered to be missing in action and the whereabouts of another 400 servicemen are being established. The number of wounded has exceeded 480 people."

The same report sounds a cautionary note for Iraqi forces:

"Russian military analysts are advising the Iraqi military command against excessive optimism. There is no question that the US 'blitzkrieg' failed to take control of Iraq and to destroy its army. It is clear that the Americans got bogged down in Iraq and the military campaign hit a snag. However, the Iraqi command is now in danger of underestimating the enemy. For now there is no reason to question the resolve of the Americans and their determination to reach the set goal – complete occupation of Iraq."

100 Bin Ladens 04.1.03
K. George

The comments of Egypt's President Hosni Mubarak before a group of soldiers in the Egyptian city of Suez:

"When it is over, if it is over, this war will have horrible consequences."

"Instead of having one (Osama) bin Laden, we will have 100 bin Ladens."

Dirty Fighting from the American Revolution to Fourth Generation Warfare 04.1.03
W. Thomson

Some American military analysts blame the slower-than-expected progress of the war on the unconventional military tactics of the Iraqis. An elite American force has been told to gather evidence of war crimes, including troops using human shields and fighters holing up in hospitals.

The Pentagon and others are calling these acts dishonorable and criminal. Time columnist Michael Eliot writes that Americans practically invented guerrilla fighting in the Revolutionary War but now express shock that their adversaries would employ such tactics. Unconventional warfare is the equalizer that a weak adversary has to use against the strong, he writes. "Our leaders in uniform would serve us better if they explained that, increasingly, guerrilla wars are the ones we will have to fight. That education is overdue."

Chuck Spinney's group Defense and the National Interest focuses on the nature of war, and effectiveness of our armies. Fourth Generational Warfare makes a case that the wars of the future will be fought on new battlefields. Targeting civilians is a part of that -- Sept. 11 was an example -- and the doctrine of 4GW argues that overwhelming military might can be outmaneuvered by small agile forces.

Tough Nut to Crack 03.31.03
K George

One of the designers of Saddam Hussein's underground shelters says it is impervious to anything short of a direct hit from a nuclear bomb. Civil engineer Karl Esser worked for a German company in the 1980s that designed a $60 million bunker built underneath Hussein's Baghdad palace. According to Esser, the bunker has a 6 1/2 foot thick ceiling and was "built to survive, from 650 feet away, a nuclear blast from a bomb like the one dropped at Hiroshima, and temperatures of more than 570 degrees Fahrenheit."

Esser is skeptical the bunker will be penetrated by any of the vaunted "bunker busting" weapons in the U.S. arsenal. "Normally such bunkers can only be taken by ground troops."

Arnett Out 03.31.03
K George

Peter Arnett, who reported live from Baghdad during the onset of the first Gulf War and was there again for the sequel, has had his services "terminated" by NBC, MSNBC and National Geographic. His employers were upset by Arnett telling Iraqi state-controlled television that the U.S.-led coalition war plan had failed because of Iraqi resistance.

Arnett appeared on the Today Show Monday where he proffered this apology of sorts:

"I said in that interview essentially what we all know about the war, that there have been delays in implementing policy, there have been surprises."

"But clearly by giving that interview I created a firestorm in the United States and for that I am truly sorry."

U.S. Moves to Assume Inspection Role, Blix Will Step Down 03.31.03
W. Thomson

So far, the U.S. military hasn't found banned weapons in sites it suspected were storage facilities of chemical or biological weapons. Military experts have examined 10 sites, but all were found to house conventional weapons.

Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld said he still believes they would discover the weapons, the avowed cause of the war, when forces moved closer in to Baghdad:

"It happens not to be the area where weapons of mass destruction were dispersed. We know where they are. They're in the area around Tikrit and Baghdad and east, west, south and north somewhat."

A debate is waging over which inspection team will do the work. The United States was upset with UNMOVIC for failing to uncover substantial stores of banned weapons in Iraq, and no evidence of nuclear, chemical, or biological weapons. The Bush administration is reportedly assembling an American team as an alternative to the long-establish United Nations group. The United States' team has drawn inspectors away from the U.N. inspection group, frustrating Hans Blix, who says he will step down in June.

Conservatives Aim to Privatize Iraq's "Cursed" Oil 03.27.03
W. Thomson

New economic policies might have the most lasting effect on the Middle East, broader even than modeling democracy in the region. Structures put in place by an interim government could change dynamics of trade and business worldwide.

The economy of the Mideast is dominated by oil, and oil production there is dominated by OPEC. Iraq is currently a member, but the Heritage Foundation says there's an opportunity for the United States to hobble the cartel. "Iraq's restructuring and privatization of its oil and gas sector could become a model for oil industry privatizations in other OPEC states as well, weakening the cartel's influence over global energy markets," write Ariel Cohen and Gerald Driscoll in a recent commentary issued by the rightwing think tank.


Amity Shlaes writes in an editorial carried in the Financial Times [pay] and the Jewish World Review [free] that state-owned oil is a corrupting force. "If the past few decades have taught us anything, it's that that once today's brave freedom fighter gets oil, he becomes tomorrow's petro-warlord." The United Nations would be vulnerable to corruption as well. She says to ignore Kurdish leaders, if need be, and not to worry about accusations of "Texas on the Tigris."

A Roar and Then a Flash 03.28.03
K. George

Robert Fisk visited a Baghdad marketplace shortly after it was rocked by a lethal explosion possibly caused by a missile. He described the carnage in grisly detail in a commentary he penned for the Independent:

"One man, so shocked by the headless corpses he had just seen, could say only two words. 'Roar, flash,' he kept saying and then closed his eyes so tight that the muscles rippled between them."

Fisk said two American missiles struck the marketplace. The Pentagon speculated the explosion was caused by an errant Iraqi missile or that the Iraqis staged the attack for propoganda purposes.

Update on Nate Thayer 03.28.03
K. George

I received an email from Slate yesterday confirming their Baghdad correspondent, Nate Thayer is fine. The message did not reveal his whereabouts. I assumed he was still somewhere in Iraq.

In his last dispatch (see "Baghdad Bloggers" below), Thayer said Iraqi officials ordered him to leave for Syria by way of a highway being bombarded by the coalition. He refused what he called a "suicide drive."

Today, I was suprised to see a report from Thayer in Slate in which he recounted his harrowing journey from Baghdad to Jordan.

One of Thayer's colleagues, freelance photograph Molly Bingham, is still missing, as are two Newsday journalists, reporter Matthew McAllester and photographer Moises Saman. According to the Committee to Protect Journalists, other journalists saw the trio put on a bus bound for either Syria or Jordan.

Al-Jazeera Hacked (Again?) 03.27.03
K. George

The "Freedom Cyber Force Militia," is claiming responsibility for hacking into Al-Jazeera's English language website and replacing it with a webpage containing an image of the American flag.

Click here to view a screen capture of the hacker's page.

It is unclear if this group was responsible for an apparent hacking attack earlier this week that paralyzed both the Al-Jazeera Arabic and English language websites.

Bungled Stories 03.27.03
K. George

"The war is only a week old and already the media has gotten at least 15 stories wrong," writes Greg Mitchell for Editor and Publisher. He singles out television news as the primary culprit. Mitchell is more sanguine about newspaper coverage and says that despite headlines that often seem "shock-and-awe-struck," some newspapers have "displayed a degree of skepticism of claims made by the military and the White House -- what used to be known as 'journalism.'"

Mitchell's 15 misreported stories:

1. Saddam may well have been killed in the first night's surprise attack (March 20).
2. Even if he wasn't killed, Iraqi command and control was no doubt "decapitated" (March 22).
3. Umm Qasr has been taken (March 22).
4. Most Iraqis soldiers will not fight for Saddam and instead are surrendering in droves (March 22).
5. Iraqi citizens are greeting Americans as liberators (March 22).
6. An entire division of 8,000 Iraqi soldiers surrendered en masse near Basra (March 23).
7. Several Scud missiles, banned weapons, have been launched against U.S. forces in Kuwait (March 23).
8. Saddam's Fedayeen militia are few in number and do not pose a serious threat (March 23).
9. Basra has been taken (March 23).
10. Umm Qasr has been taken (March 23).
11. A captured chemical plant likely produced chemical weapons (March 23).
12. Nassiriya has been taken (March 23).
13. Umm Qasr has been taken (March 24).
14. The Iraqi government faces a "major rebellion" of anti-Saddam citizens in Basra (March 24).
15. A convoy of 1,000 Iraqi vehicles and Republican Guards are speeding south from Baghdad to engage U.S. troops (March 25).

Tough Day for Al-Jazeera 03.26.03
K. George

Al-Jazeera's English language website is about 4 days old and already it apparently has been hacked, as has its Arabic-language site. As of this writing, if you try going to http://english.aljazeera.net or http://www.aljazeera.net you will get this message: "The page cannot be displayed."

Al-Jazeera suffered another blow Tuesday when, citing "security concerns," The New York Stock Exchange revoked the credentials of two of its reporters.

You may recall the Qatar-based news channel recently ran afoul of The Pentagon for broadcasting video of dead and captured American soldiers (see Will Thomson's entry on "Media At War" on the next page).

Many media watchdog groups have been very critical of the action taken by the stock exchange. The Poynter Institute's Bob Steele said, "it smells bad," and "it appears to be a case of punishing Al-Jazeera for its coverage of the war in Iraq."

Baghdad Bloggers 03.26.03 K. George





Photo Gallery
Today's news photos from around the world.





Maps
Military locations, NPR reporter locations

  Tell Us What's On Your Mind:
EMAIL: iraq@wbur.org
 
I've been reading Nate Thayer's dispatches from Baghdad in Slate. One of the things I like about Thayer is his honesty. He freely admits to being afraid. And more so of the Iraqis than of the cruise missiles:

"Today is also the first time that I am truly frightened. It is not the American bombs I am primarily afraid of. What frightens me and Mary-the name I'll give a photographer with whom I've become inseparable-is the mood of the people. The city is thick with anger and defiance, and we are Americans."
This past Monday, he concluded his dispatch on this unsettling note:
"Iraqi officials are continuing to harass us. I was just told that we will be expelled first thing in the morning. They said we will have to drive to Syria-a 20-hour ride on a highway that we've heard is under bombardment from the coalition. It's a suicide drive, and I am not going to do it. I have about six hours to figure out how to get out of it."
I haven't seen anything more from Thayer in Slate.

The highway he refers to is, I believe, the same one on which an American missile hit a bus, killing five of its Syrian occupants.

I trolled through Slate's forums searching for clues to his whereabouts. They contained posts from readers also anxious for answers about Thayer, but nothing from the Slate people. I hit another dead-end when I emailed Slate and got an automated response with boilerplate copy thanking me for contacting them.

Presumably he is out of Baghdad and Slate will reveal his whereabouts in the near future.

Speaking of Baghdad bloggers, the pseudonymous Salam Pax has been the subject of favorable reviews in MSNBC, CNN, the BBC, and in numerous blogs as well. It appears opinion in the blogsphere is running more pro than con concerning the question of his authenticity. One blogger, a former UNIX system administrator, even backed up his contention that Pax is probably legitimate with a fairly heady technical analysis of Pax's IP address.

Salam has been watching a good deal of Al-Jazeera lately:

"The images Al-jazeera is broadcasting are beyond any description. First was the attack on (Ansar el Islam) camp in the north of Iraq. Then the images of civilian casualties in Basra city. What was most disturbing are the images from the hospitals. They are simply not prepared to deal with these things. People were lying on the floor with bandages and blood all over. If this is what 'urban warefare' is going to look like we're in for disaster."

After the Fighting Stops, the U.S. or U.N. to Fill the Void? 03.26.03
W. Thomson

A nongovernmental advocacy think tank in Brussels calls on the United States to stand down after the fighting in Iraq stops, and for the United Nations to prepare to lead the country.

The report from the International Crisis Group calls for a United Nations authority to take control "as soon as possible." It says the success of the installed government will hinge on its legitimacy in the eyes of the Iraqi people and advises against two alternate scenarios: the U.S. assuming full authority, and the U.S. installing an interim Iraqi government.

As to the first, "even many U.S. policy-makers acknowledge that it risks alienating Iraqis, exposing Washington to accusations that it nurtures imperial designs and further undermining its posture in the region," the report reads. Secondly, it says that there are no obvious Iraqi candidates that the U.S. could handpick to run the country. The report specifically warns against overseas exiled Iraqis, who it says have already "staked their claim," but who have very limited knowledge and contacts in a complex political society which casts "serious doubt on the degree to which they are genuinely representative."

One of those exiled Iraqis is Kanan Makiya. Yesterday, as a guest on The Connection he argued that the United States should take over briefly, and install a temporary government of Iraqi opposition and exiles. He also said that there needed to be a de-Baathification of the country, [LISTEN] routing out of public life the ideology and promoters of Saddam Hussein's party.

» Read the report (PDF Acrobat file)

Media at War 03.25.03 W. Thomson

Networks yesterday wrestled with the question of whether to air interviews with captured American soldiers. The soldiers were questioned on Iraqi state television. The tape was replayed on Al Jazeera and then picked up by most of the rest of the world. The soldiers were asked in halting English what were their names, where they were from, and why they were in Iraq.

Donald Rumsfeld called the tapes humiliating, and as such said that
they were a violation of the Geneva Convention on treatment of
prisoners. Al Jazeera defended the decision to broadcast the tapes,
saying that it was bold of the United States to invoke the Geneva
Conventions while waging a war without U.N. backing. "You can't pick
and choose," an unnamed official said.

The Pentagon asked American media not to play the videos, saying it would be an "unfortunate" decision. Nevertheless, finding them on the web wasn't hard. Many major foreign newspaper websites featured videos or photo galleries of the prisoners and of Iraqi civilian dead as their top stories. Some of the countries like Italy and Spain are America's coalition partners.

In many international newspapers, you start to see a different war being covered, and one that is more graphic. It would be sensationalizing to show these videos to shock, but they may be valuable to many in understanding the entirety of this war and in assessing the debate around them. Some have worried that watching will make the American public more squeamish about loss of life in the Gulf. In the end, the public itself decides to watch or turn away.

» Click Here to Watch the Video: from the Italian paper Corriere Della Sera
» Other Video from the Italian site Corriere Della Sera

Collateral Damage 03.25.03 K. George

It is difficult to assess how many Iraq civilians have died in the war. The Pentagon won't comment on specific numbers of Iraqi civilian casualties. The Iraqi Red Crescent has reported 70 deaths in Basra, but that information hasn't been independently verified. An advocacy group called Iraqbodycount.net says at least 199 civilians have been killed (they started counting in January when U.S. bombing raids in the "no-fly" zone intensified). It arrived at that figure by tallying references to civilian deaths reported by various news agencies.

Shock and Awe Spread, Tension and Doubt Flare 03.24.03 W. Thomson

Shock and awe is spreading. Military force may be limited to Iraq, but diplomatic fallout is worldwide. According to political writer Robert Kaplan, the strategy that was predicted to cow Iraqi troops into a quick surrender was also designed to impress other adversaries. Kaplan identifies Iran is the "real hinge" of the region.

Others warn not to confuse respect and fear. Military analyst Richard Bennett says the most intractable effect of the war in Iraq will be the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction.

North Korea is being pushed to the edge of panic by the war in Iraq, since the country still tops the U.S. president's short list of Axis of Evil powers. Pyongyang made the link explicit when it released the following statement:

"The U.S. use of force against Iraq, as well as military preparations by the United States and its satellites on the Korean peninsula, make it clear to us what we must do to prepare fully for justified self-defense."

North Korean leaders seemed convinced they would be next to be singled out by the Americans.

Meanwhile, Iran is complaining that U.S. planes have violated its airspace and there are reports that the Iranian military may have fired on coalition planes. Iranian leaders had threatened to shoot at military planes if their airspace were violated. A government minister was quick to add, "firing does not mean going to war." Hitting might, however. All this underscores the tension in the region, and the potential for a widened conflict.

Words Part I 03.21.03 K. George

The jargon and catchphrases used by public officials and parroted in the media obscure as much as they inform, and soft-pedal the deadly business of war:

"decapitation" = "assassination"
"collateral damage" = "dead civilians"
"assets" = "soldiers"
"neutralized" = "killed"
"robust response" = "killing with particular efficacy"
"shock and awe" = "devastating bombing of Iraq"
"incursion" ="invasion"

Words Part II 03.21.03 K. George

A particularly piqued Iraqi information minister sprinkled his speech with mobster metaphors at a press conference yesterday: American was the "superpower of Al Capone," and the Bush administration the "criminal George Bush and his gang." Saddam Hussein is alleged to have a taste for gangster flicks, especially "The Godfather." Perhaps it is required viewing for his cabinet.

Peace Protests, as War Starts 03.21.03 W. Thomson

Peace protests around the world were galvanized by anger at the start of the American war with Iraq. In India, police used tear gas and clubs on protesters. In the Muslim world, confrontations between the police and protesters turned violent. Egyptian authorities held off protesters intent on marching on the American Embassy in Cairo, using attack dogs and water canons.


In the United States, the largest and most confrontational protests were in San Francisco where some 1,400 people were arrested, setting records of numbers of arrests in that city.

Photos from Protests

Signs and Slogans from the Protests

- Shock + Awe = Terror
- Fight Mad Cowboy Disease
- Bomb Texas. They Have Oil
- War is Not a Business Plan
- No War for Empire
- Start Seeing Iraqi Children
- Peace is Patriotic
- I Support Smart War, This One is Stupid
- Will Work for Peace
- God Forgive America
- Collateral Damage = Iraqi Children
- Corporate Media Want War
- Bush: Empty Warhead Found in DC
- Non a Guerre
- Republic Yes, Empire No
- Support Our Troops, Bring Them Home
- Ordering a Preemptive War is Murder

Protesters in Boston balanced their rage at the government with concern for their countrymen in harm's way. Many people argued that the best way to support the troops was to bring them home.

At the Government Center protest, organizers bellowed over bull horns "No Blood for Oil," and led chants of "Who's gonna stop the war? We're gonna stop the war." Despite the optimism of the slogans, few seemed to believe that George Bush was likely to heed a peace march in Boston, Massachusetts, or that they might succeed in convincing where the United Nations had failed.

Attorney Brownlow Speer said the start of war has not caused him to lose resolve. Speer says it is important to leave a record for the future and for the world that there was dissent when this war started. "I'm out today to help make a show to the rest of the world that not everyone here signs off on this illegal war, so when the world looks at America, it will see that a part of the citizenry didn't want to take a part in a war crime," said Spear.

Others, echoed that sentiment. "I think we have a lot to feel confident about," said Kay Thomas, affordable housing analyst, surveying the rally. "You can't talk about it in the past tense," she said.

The energy of the protests could gather steam as military casualties mount on both sides of the conflict. Foxboro High School student Brian Curran walked at the head of the march as the protests took over city streets. "We're not going to let business as usual continue as long as this country is at war," he said, adding that civil disobedience, the term for knowingly risking arrest in protest, was an option many would consider.

At the fringes of the Government Center protest, pro-war counter protesters formed a small circle. Russ Robins held a sign recalling September 11. He called the protesters a very vocal minority, but didn't say they shouldn't express their views. "On the whole this is not unpatriotic, free speech is what it is," he said.

Casualties of War 03.20.03 K. George

According to the Washington Times, the first casualty of war with Iraq was a Jordanian. Iraqbodycount.net has the civilian death toll thus far at 16.

In Other News... 03.20.03 K. George

The Slate's Mickey Kaus reminds us war coverage has exiled otherwise important news stories to the limbo of page A-10 and beyond. Consider this nugget from page A-12 of the Washington Post, easily front-page fodder if not for Iraq:

Counterterror Team's Turnover Continues
The resignation Monday of Rand Beers, the National Security Council's senior director for combating terrorism, marked the second round of upheaval in the White House's counterterrorism team in less than 18 months.

From A-10 of USA Today:

Farmer surrenders in Washington
Traffic in the nation's capital is back to normal — for now. But the mayhem caused by a 48-hour standoff with a disgruntled North Carolina tobacco farmer made many nervous about the odds of getting out of Washington, D.C., if terrorists attack.
Saddam's Strategy 03.19.03 W. Thomson

War is now all but certain, with U.S. and British forces arrayed some 300,000 strong at Iraq's borders. Almost equally sure is that Saddam Hussein will be deposed by those forces. Knowing he will be captured or killed, Hussein has no chance for success in this Gulf War, but he does have options open to inflict some measure of failure on the United States.

-Chaos Strategy

One option open to Hussein is to create chaos in his country. Already, Iraqi troops are reported to have opened spigots on wells, creating pools of oil that could be set ablaze. There are numerous reports that the oil wells themselves are wired with explosives. Smoke would reduce visibility, complicating attacks by land and air and the rich wealth of the country could be denied the invaders and their installed government. There is speculation that Iraq's army might even poison the water supply.

Meanwhile, there are reports that some Iraqis may slow American forces with nerve gas. An extended fight could send millions of refugees fleeing, and in the worst case scenarios, the chaos could spread throughout the Middle East.

-Maintaining Reputation

At odds with the goal of generating mayhem is Hussein's desire to cement a reputation and place in history in the eyes of his people, the Arab world, and in world opinion. Hussein could stage a final, noble stand, chosing to fight a clean war. Hussein could die a martyr, and wreak havoc on American policy from the grave. "This is not President Saddam Hussein's war. This is a Muslim war," believers were told in Baghdad's holiest Shiite Muslim site.

Chief weapons inspector Hans Blix, withdrawn from Iraq before the American war, says that it is unlikely that Hussein would unleash any chemical weapons he may still possess. There is great skepticism of the U.S. war, says Blix, and that would evaporate if Hussein were to use weapons of mass destruction. "Some people care about their reputation even after death," said Blix.

  • Defections 03.19.03 K. George

    Nary a shot has been fired and there are already reports of Iraqi soldiers surrendering. Some with apparent difficulty. Consider this item in today's Times Online:
    "Kuwaiti border guards are having to turn Iraqi soldiers back - telling them that they must wait until an attack begins before they can surrender."
    The Times also says a "secret-level intelligence report" shows "fractures developing within the regime."

  • Kurds May Have Their Way 03.18.03 K. George

    Washington's anger with Turkey appears to have given the Kurds some breathing room. "In his fury at Turkey, Bush rediscovered his loyalty to the Kurds," says the Slate's Timothy Noah. However, with war imminent, there are signs Ankara is willing to reconsider a deal that would grant it a roll in the Kurdish areas of Iraq and billions in aid. Washington says it may revisit the deal, but has warned its NATO ally to stay out of Iraq -- at least for now.

    Noah maintains the "Kurd Sellout Watch" section of the popular "chatterbox" section of Slate. The facetiously titled column underscores his pessimism of the Kurds' ultimate fate. Click here to read his catalogue of past betrayals of the Kurds by, well, by just about everybody.

    Taking a page out of the Afghanistan playbook, U.S. Special Forces are on patrol with Kurds in northern Iraq. The objective of this "Northern Alliance" is to secure the oil-rich Iraqi city of Kirkuk before Saddam puts the torch to it.

  • 48 Hours 03.18.03 W. Thomson

    Bush gives Saddam Hussein two days to leave Iraq. Now inspectors and foreign diplomats moving out of Baghdad, and troops are readying at the front.

    » The End of Diplomacy: The Connection
    » Transcript of President's Address

  • And I Quote: 03.17.03 W. Thomson

    »US Losing Its Patience with Diplomacy: Powell Sees "No Further Purpose" in Seeking U.N. Resolution (03/17/03)

    Transcript from News Conference with President Bush (03/06/03)

    Q Thank you, Mr. President. As you said, the Security Council faces a vote next week on a resolution implicitly authorizing an attack on Iraq. Will you call for a vote on that resolution, even if you aren't sure you have the vote?

    THE PRESIDENT: Well, first, I don't think -- it basically says that he's in defiance of 1441. That's what the resolution says. And it's hard to believe anybody is saying he isn't in defiance of 1441, because 1441 said he must disarm. And, yes, we'll call for a vote.

    Q No matter what?

    THE PRESIDENT: No matter what the whip count is, we're calling for the vote. We want to see people stand up and say what their opinion is about Saddam Hussein and the utility of the United Nations Security Council. And so, you bet. It's time for people to show their cards, to let the world know where they stand when it comes to Saddam.

    » LISTEN to the Excerpt


    »Interview with former secretary general of the United Nations, Boutros Boutros Ghali (The Guardian)

    » U.N. Security Council Resolution 1441

  • Blogging by the Euphrates 03.14.03 K. George

    LISTEN HERE...

    Human Shield Deported From Iraq:
    From Here and Now: A conversation with a war veteran opposed to a U.S. war who was recently deported from Iraq, despite the fact that he offered to act as a "human shield."
      LISTEN...

    Radio Tikrit: From Here and Now: The sounds of "Radio Tikrit"-- from Saddam Hussein's hometown.
      LISTEN...

    Real Story: From This American Life: A marine sniper talks about the real confusion and terror of war.
       
    LISTEN...

    Countdown:
    From The Next Big Thing: A Bangladeshi living in New York for 10 years debates whether to risk everything by complying with INS orders to be registered, fingerprinted, and interviewed or to risk everything by not registering.
        LISTEN...
    Salam says he is an Iraqi blogger in Baghdad (of course, for all we know, he could be a 15-year-old writing from his Mom's basement in Des Moines). The Ba'ath government and U.S. policy are the frequent targets of his caustic -- and in the former case dangerous -- observations in his blog "Where is Raed?," though he also excoriates volunteer humans shields, Western reporters, and other bloggers with equal aplomb. Most interesting are his insights on daily life in a police state on the verge of war:
    "A BBC reporter walking thru the Mutanabi Friday book market (again) ends his report with : 'It looks like Iraqis are putting on an air of normality.'"

    "Almost everything is more expensive than it was a couple of months ago, people are digging wells in their gardens, on the radio yesterday after playing a million songs from the time of the war with Iran (these are like cartoon theme songs for people my age, we know them all by heart) they read out instructions on how to make a trench and prepare for war, that is after president saddam advised Iraqis to make these trenches in their gardens."

    "In order not to disappoint the BBC; me, Raed and G. put on our “normal” faces and went to buy CDs from Arassat Street in a demonstration of normality. After going first into Sandra’s fruit juice shop and getting what people from foreign would probably call a poor imitation of a banana and apple smoothie, we spent half an hour contemplating the CD racks at music shop."

    The authenticity of "Where is Raed?" is the subject of much debate by fellow bloggers. Some are convinced he is the geniune article while others suspect a clever hoax. Said one blogger: "The site looks believable. Also, however, I WANT to believe. This alone makes me a little suspicious." Perhaps after the war -- if there is one -- the truth will come out. Stay tuned.

    In on small Jordian villiage, Goldfarb was the honored guest at a feast which consisted of an entire lamb cooked in yogurt. At one small villiage he was the honored guest at a feast at whihc a lamb, boiled in yougurt was the featured served. He tells about the feast in his reporter's notebook and Goldfarb apparently devoured his portiona with gusto. At least that is what Anna Benstend told us. Will wbur: Al Qaeda is from God WBUR reporter Michael Goldfarb writes that Jordanians don't love Saddam Hussein, but nor is there love lost for the United States. In "Reporters Notebook" section of his documentary, Goldfarb writes that Jordanians know Hussein is a brutal dictator, and would like to see him dead. They just don't want to see mass numbers of Iraqis dead as a consequence of replacing one bad leader. The CIA is a major presence in Jordan - psychological if not physical - and the family Goldfarb spoke with wonders why the CIA can't assassinate him. They attribute the agency with diabolical and near omnipotent strength. With such force, how could September 11 happen, Goldfarb asks. "The CIA controls the whole world, but Al Qaeda is from God."--->
  • Blair's Bucketful of Woes 03.13.03 K. George

    No question that Tony Blair's backing of George W. Bush on Iraq has cost him politically. Consider these assessments from the other side of the pond heard on hour one of today's Connection:

    "I think we've got a serious problem for Tony Blair at the moment ... the reason we're in a difficulty is because we are following the George W. Bush timetable for war." - Graham Allen, Member of Parliament, Labour

    "He is in deep, deep trouble ... my party, the Conservative party ... are more or less supporting him ... and he now needs them, and for a British prime minister to need the opposition party is desperate." - Matthew Parris, political reporter, The Times of London

    "George W. Bush may indeed achieve regime change, but it will be regime change in Britain before in Iraq." - Timothy Garton, director of the European Studies Centre at St. Antony's College at Oxford University.

    Consider also the deep opposition to war in Britain and on the continent, and the stinging rebuke to Blair by members of his own party: just two weeks ago 121 Labour MP's voted against war with Iraq, and a prominent member of Labour is resigning with murmurings more will follow once war begins.

    Despite the political drubbing from his left flank, and his failure to persuade the Security Council to vote on a second resolution on Iraq, the prime minister seems intent on staking his political future on the outcome of war with Iraq.

    Freedom Fried Potatoes 03.12.03 K. George

    "Freedom Toast?!" Sacrebleu! Incensed by France's vocal opposition to a U.S. - led war on Iraq, American patriots are renaming some of the nation's culinary treasures. And on Capitol Hill, some cafeterias have purged all things French-sounding from the menus. As Slate's Timothy Noah wryly observes, "no word yet on whether the House similarly plans to adopt the neologisms 'freedom horn,' 'freedom doors,' 'freedom kissing,' and 'freedom tickler.'"

    One of the congressional leaders of the jeremiad against the "French" fry is North Carolina Congressman Walter Jones. Today on Here and Now, Jones told Robin Young, "There is a message here and that is we believe the French shouldn't be so outspoken in their opposition. We are the country that lost 3,000 citizens in the year 2001." Jones says he got the inspiration for the name change from a constituent who runs a dinner in Beaufort and who swapped the "French" for "freedom" as a show of support for U.S. troops.

    As of this writing there was no official French response to the rechristening of the cholesterol-laden staple of the American diet, though the French embassy in Washington observed "that French fries actually come from Belgium."

  • Now Broadcasting 03.11.03 K. George

    Radio Tikrit is now on the air. You may recall Tikrit is the birthplace of Saddam Hussein. And when the station went on the air early last month, its broadcasts lauding Iraq's proud history sounded suspiciously like pro-government propaganda. Over the ensuing weeks however, they gradually took on an anti-Saddam tone, leading to speculation that the radio station was a CIA "psy-ops" operation.

    One expert says Radio Tikrit "is a rare case of a 'black clandestine' station." That is, "it was designed to deceive listeners into thinking it supports the target it is actually aimed against."

    On Here and Now Tuesday, Bill Delaney read excerpts of some of the station's broadcasts. Click on this link to listen to Bill. To learn more about clandestine radio operations in the Middle East, visit Clandestine Radio.com and DXing.Info.

  • A Shield's Lament 03.10.03 K. George

    Ken Nichols O'Keefe, one of the chief movers and shakers of the "human shield" movement, has been forced out of Iraq (see "Shields Yield" below) and is advising against any would-be-shields traveling to Baghdad.

    O'Keefe posts on his website that he never gave much thought to the possibility that Iraqi officials would assert their control and evict him. Given the authoritarian character of the government, one wonders why this possibility eluded him.

  • Disarm by the 17th 03.07.03 W. Thomson

    The U.S. and its allies on the Security Council are proposing a resolution calling for Iraq to fully comply with "disarmament demands or face war." At present, the resolution is unlikely to survive a veto by other members of the council.

  • Shields Yield 03.07.03 K. George

    The number of volunteer "human shields" in Iraq may soon decline precipitously. The Age reports upwards of 120 "human shields" plan to quit in protest over Iraqi attempts to compromise the "autonomy of their volunteer organization." Iraq also plans to deport one of the primary leaders of the group.

  • Seeds of Disorder? 03.07.03 K. George

    An Iranian backed Shiite militia is in Iraq, Turkey threatens an invasion of the Kurdish areas, and Iraqi Kurds say if the Turks come "the Kurdish population will take their arms and go and confront the invaders." Ominous foreshadowings of the civil chaos that will greet American occupiers? Or does the Bush administration have what it takes to prevent the Lebanonization of a post-Saddam Iraq?

    The Slate's Fred Kaplan says "no:"

    "If the administration lacks the acumen or persuasive power to deal with such familiar institutions as the U.N. Security Council or the established governments of France, Germany, Turkey, Russia, China—even Canada—then how is it going to handle Iraq's feuding opposition groups, Kurdish separatists, and myriad ethno-religious factions, to say nothing of the turbulence throughout the region?"

    Answering in the affirmative is Richard Perle:

    "Our first task is to topple the dictatorship and destroy its weapons. We shall then have the task of ensuring security and law and order for a brief period during which the new Iraqi government establishes itself and rebuilds its police and armed forces. The Iraqis will have the opportunity to have a new constitution, hold elections and produce a government of their own choosing. Once that government asks us to leave, we shall leave."

  • Allegations that Detainees Were Killed 03.07.03 K. George

    The Pentagon says it is investigating allegations that two detainees were beaten to death by military guards at a U.S. base in Bagram, Afghanistan. According to CNN, "on December 3, the first detainee died of a blood clot in the lung. The second died on December 10 of a heart attack. " There was little reported about the identity of the alleged victims other than they were under 40 years of age.

  • Rumsfeld on the Hot Seat 03.06.03 K. George

    It was an irritable Donald Rumsfeld that emerged during a BBC interview, excerpts of which aired during On Point last evening. The quick-witted defense secretary, accustomed to holding court at televised press briefings, became progressively defensive and prone to tortuous circumlocutions during his one-to-one exchange with the BBC's David Dimbleby.

    DD: Are people who want to defer war appeasers?

    DR: No, I've never used that word. I think these are very tough issues. I think that the 21st Century is a different century. We're in a different security environment. And people have got to think through what it means, what this new security environment means. And I think probably one of the differences is that the United States was the country that was attacked on September 11. And so there is a great deal of support for the president's position. It wasn't some of the European countries that was attacked on September 11, and their publics and their leadership look at this somewhat differently. It seems to me that that's to be expected when you take very difficult issues about the fact that we could have a September 11 where not 3,000 people were killed, but maybe 30,000 could be killed, or 300,000 could be killed. And then the question is, well, what do you do about that, and those are big ideas. They're big concerns. And people need time to discuss them. So using words like you used, and I did not -

    DD: The Prime Minister of Britain used the words, not me, about appeasers. I mean he used it in the context of the way that people treated Hitler, and he said the appeasers may have been well-intentioned, but they were wrong.

    DR: Well, there's no question but that people in that period who were looking for a peaceful way with Adolf Hitler were proven wrong.

  • Hazardous Duty 03.06.03 K. George
    Reporting from the battlefield is dangerous work. Now journalists need to worry about their risks on the home front as well. In anticipation of a terrorist attack involving chemical or biological agents, reporters in New York and Washington are getting "trained in the use of gas masks and protective suits."

  • Talking Turkey 03.05.03 K. George

    The U.S. is still smarting from the Turkish parliament's rebuff of Washington's request to base troops in Turkey for a northern offensive into Iraq. The strategic value of Turkey and political significance of having a Muslim nation onboard means Washington is prepared to wait out the 10 days when parliament reconvenes for another vote.

    In his broadside against Turkey featured in Slate, Christopher Hitchens says Washington is better off without the Turks, a regime that in his words, "has collected a bigger sheaf of resolutions condemning its international behavior than the Iraqi one."

    The erstwhile lefty says Turkish acquiescence will be bought at the expense of the Kurds. He then lists other reasons he finds Turkey so unworthy an ally. His grievances include Ankara's genocide against the Armenians and Turkey's invasion of Cyprus.

  • Spying at the U.N. 03.05.03 K. George

    A story that has garnered considerable overseas press this week but has largely been ignored by the American media concerns allegations that the U.S. is spying on fellow Security Council members.

    The U.K. Observer first broke the story when it published what it says is a National Security Agency memorandum confirming intelligence surveillance of Security Council delegates.

    The memo, published on the Observer website, opens by saying "the Agency is mounting a surge particularly directed at the UN Security Council (UNSC) members (minus US and GBR of course) for insights as to how to membership is reacting to the on-going debate RE: Iraq..."

    "Mounting a surge" apparently means intercepting electronic mail and phone calls.

    Salon's Jake Tapper says spying at the world body is nothing new (and hence should come as no great shock to member nations). Rather, it is the international response to the allegations that is most telling: "The story is significant in that it reveals much about the way that the Bush administration has handled its foreign policy: clumsy or arrogant or righteous, depending upon your point of view, but indisputably alienating to most of the rest of the world."

    The White House refused comment on the memorandum.

  • Shields Depart 03.05.03 K. George

    Heralded by some as courageous, chastised by others as dupes or worse, small groups of Americans and Europeans have entered Iraq since late last year to serve as volunteer "human shields." They believe their presence will deter Washington from going to war if it means killing scores of Westerners on the ground in Iraq.

    With war looming (On Tuesday, Slates "The Saddameter" showed a 96 percent likelihood of war), some of the "human shields" are now starting to have second thoughts. A disheartened group of British volunteers decided to pack up and leave Baghdad on Monday after rejecting demands by their Iraqi handlers they position themselves at "strategic sites" or leave the country. The Brits wanted to camp out at hospitals, orphanages and other "civilian sites," eschewing the oil refineries, power plants and other likely targets of an aerial bombardment.

    The U.K. Telegraph's Charlotte Edwards accompanied some of the British volunteers to Baghdad and provides a rather comical though highly unflattering account of the group's experiences. The composition of the group belies the "peacenik stereotype," Edwards writes, instead they come across as well-meaning eccentrics led by an American expatriate of questionable emotionally stability. The group gets off to a rather inauspicious start: the ancient bus chartered for the trip frequently breaks down; members of the group get sick and squabble. Things improve once they arrive in Baghdad. One volunteer stationed in a granary is won over by the "televisions, VCRs, telephones and a Play Station" furnished by the Iraqis. For some, the euphoria of being in Iraq rapidly gives ways to misgivings about their assignments and their Iraqi handlers. Says one volunteer stationed at an oil refinery:

    "The people staying there sleep 50 yards from stacks billowing black smoke. And it's sinister: 20 minders are there for eight shields. There are three security gates, including one manned by plain-clothed guards carrying AK47s. Most shields want to get out of there and go to the granary."

    Things finally come to a head when in response to the complaints of some of the would-be human shields Iraqi officials issue this decree: go where we want you to go or get out. And that is precisely what some of them decided to do this week.

  • Warning K. George

    An influential Iraqi Shiite cleric says an American military occupation of Iraq would incite Muslims in the Middle East and could trigger a "religious war" against the United States. The exiled cleric, Mohammed Baqir al-Hakim, head of the largest political organization opposed to Saddam Hussein, is highly regarded within Iraq's Shia community. Shia comprise 60% -- 65% of Iraq's population and have been ruthlessly oppressed by the Sunni controlled government.

  • The Missiles of Nicaragua K. George

    In War on Terror news, The Washington Post's Marcela Sanchez writes that the Bush Administration wants Nicaragua to do a little disarming of its own. The poverty-wracked Central American republic possesses thousands of Soviet made surface-to-air missiles among its arsenal of Contra War leftovers. Washington frets that in a country with a standard of living slightly above that of Haiti's, some of these weapons could be purchased for the right amount of cash.

    Despite U.S. pressure, the Nicaraguan president says any cuts in his country's arsenal need to be part of a broader regional arms reduction pact.

    Sanchez says even if Nicaragua succumbs to U.S. pressure and unilaterally destroys the missiles, Washington "will have achieved an antiterrorism victory--but a short-term one." She also accuses the United States of being somewhat self-serving in its fixation on the missiles at the expense of other weapons: "In Colombia, the AK-47s, not missiles, from the Nicaraguan arsenal ended up in the hands of right-wing forces with no known connection to al Qaeda. The Colombian government is now seeking to disarm these groups."

  • Common Cause K. George

    A report in the Christian Science Monitor says intelligence officials in the U.S. and Philippines believe Iraq may be attempting to "outsource" terror attacks against American targets by forging links with militant Islamic groups.

    If true, Muslim extremists and Ba'athist agents make strange bedfellows. Bin Laden detests the secularist Saddam Hussein -- the latter's recent appeals for Muslim unity notwithstanding -- and the feeling is reciprocated.

    The Monitor article goes on to state that Iraq bungled past attempts to retaliate against the U.S. and refers to two incidents from 1991: In Indonesia, an explosive laden flower pot failed to detonate outside the American ambassador's residence. And an attack in the Philippines was foiled when a bomb exploded prematurely, killing an Iraqi agent.

    Their failures convinced Iraqi intelligence of the need to work with more skilled terror outfits. Reportedly, one of these groups is the Philippine based Abu Sayyaf. The Muslim separatist group has gained notoriety for a series of terrorist incidents in the Philippines and extorting money through kidnappings of Filipinos and foreigners. Last year an American missionary was among the hostages killed during a firefight between the guerillas and the Filipino military. Washington, citing links between Abu Sayyaf and Al Qaeda, has dispatched thousands of U.S. troops to hunt down and crush the rebel group.

  • Loose Nukes K. George

    Thursday's USA Today fronts with an alarming story about the availability of the basic ingredients needed to cook up an atomic bomb.

    Low-grade uranium, the most common fuel used by nuclear plants, is not classified "weapons-usable." Hence, it is exempt from many of the security protocols required for plutonium and highly enriched uranium. As it turns out, with the proper equipment and technical knowledge, low-grade uranium can be converted into the weapons grade variety.

    The article also identified "spent reactor fuel" as an area of concern. In many countries the spent uranium and plutonium fuel is not well guarded, apparently due to the belief it is "too radioactive to handle." Some U.S. scientists say with time the "radioactivity has dissipated and poses less of a risk" to someone trying to make off with a cache of the stuff.

  • North Korea Fires a Missile K. George

    While the president called for Iraq to disarm to avert war, "Axis of Evil" club member North Korea fired a missile into the Sea of Japan just hours before the inauguration of South Korean President-elect Roh Moo Hyun. Colin Powell, in Seoul for the swearing-in, took the news in stride, calling the entire affair "fairly innocuous."

    NPR's Eric Wiener reports the missile launch was another "attention grabbing move on the part of North Korea and not the start of a military offensive. " The North's latest "attention-grabbing move" caused the Seoul and Tokyo stock markets to tumbled and triggered a heightened state of alert in the South Korean military.

    Salon.com's Joe Conason writes the administration's contradictory approaches to North Korea and Iraq -- two totalitarian states ruled by ruthless dictators with a taste for weapons of mass destruction -- conveys the message that "any ruler who wants to be treated politely by the United States should build nuclear weapons and fire missiles."

  • Relevant, Irrelevant W. Thomson

    Today, speaking at a meeting of the National Governors Association, President Bush said his administration would submit a resolution to the United Nations Security Council to declare Iraq incompliant with an earlier resolution demanding it disarm of weapons of mass destruction.

    "Today we're going to submit a resolution to the U.N. Security Council that spells out what the world has witnessed the last months. The Iraqi regime is not disarming. The Iraqi regime is not disarming as required by last fall's unanimous vote of the Security Council. "

    He continued:

    "It's an interesting moment for the Security Council and the United Nations. It's a moment to determine for this body, that we hope succeeds, to determine whether or not it is going to be relevant, as the world confronts the threats to the 21st century. Is it going to be a body that means what it says? We certainly hope it does."

    In the remarks Bush repeats this assertion that the United Nations is facing a decision that will decide its relevance. At this moment, he says, the United Nations can prove its relevance, or confirm his seeming suspicions that it has outlived its use.

    Anti-war activists apparently agree that the vote on the latest Security Council resolution is a test of the U.N.'s relevance. If the international body lines up behind the United States, they argue - either by positive votes, or by key countries abstaining-- this international organization will be another U.S.-led rubber stamp unit, the charge against the IMF, World Bank, and NATO.

  • Pleasant, Unpleasant W. Thomson

    A Malaysian letter to the editor on anti-war protesters' tactics brings a critical eye to antiwar arguments. Writer Tong Kong faults Bush's opponents for losing focus on their antiwar beliefs, focusing instead on Bush's personality, his perceived intelligence, or the circumstances of his coming to power. These, Kong points out that these are diversions from the core argument over whether or not war is justified.

    "Mr. Bush may or may not be as unpleasant as his detractors say he is, but I think it is wrong to conclude that an unpleasant person is always wrong," writes Kong.

  • Turks and Kurds K. George

    "People in northern Iraqi Kurdistan are more scared of the Turkish military than of Saddam."
    -- Kurdish official in Iraq

    Washington and Ankara are negotiating the terms of a deal that would allow the U.S. to open a northern front against Iraq in Turkey. With the economic fallout from the last Gulf War still being felt, Ankara is pressing Washington for aid and other concessions to sell the deal to a highly skeptical Turkish public. Turkey's acquiesce will likely be rewarded with billions of dollars from the United States, and a military role in the war. The latter has some Kurds worried.

    Under the protection of a no-fly zone, and having negotiated an end to a civil war between two political factions, the Kurds of northern Iraq are prospering in what some observers are calling a "Golden Age." They have established civil institutions like courts and other trappings of an embryonic state, and their armed militias help keep the peace in northern Iraq. Ankara frets this experiment in Kurdish autonomy will inspire the Kurds of Turkey which account for 20% of the population. It has responded by beefing up its forces along the border, and by some accounts, has stationed thousands of troops inside the Kurdish areas within Iraq. Mindful of how ruthlessly Ankara fought Kurdish separatists in Turkey, Kurdish officials in Iraq fear Turkish forces will "undermine the autonomy of the region the Kurds have governed for 12 years."

  • March In W. Thomson

    Several days ago, WBUR talk show The Connection discussed the tradition of protest marches -- looking beyond their political impact to the logistics and atmosphere and perception. Many callers to the show said the physical act of marching is important -- that a crowd winding through the streets on foot expresses energy and conviction, a people's parade.

    MoveOn.org is staging a "Virtual March" on Washington. The organization bills the event as a procession of telephone calls and faxed letters to Congress to oppose war. The plan is to use the web to organize and reach like-minded people. Moveon.org is scheduling calls from constituents to every senator's office in Washington all day on Feb. 26 in one-minute intervals.

    Online, anti-war organizing far outnumbers the pro-war efforts - probably less an accurate gauge of public opinion than the fact that the pro-war faction is led by the White House, and the anti-war side has few public officials speaking for it. There are, however, several pro-war petitions online. This one calls for support of the war on Iraq. Another calls for Congress to formally declare war on Islamic terrorists and those who harbor them.

    » WATCH an ad from MoveOn, featuring The West Wing's Martin Sheen

  • Masks and Missiles K. George

    If Iraq launches missiles against Israel, many Israeli citizens -- Arab and Jew alike -- will reflexively reach for gas masks provided by the government. Most Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza are unlikely to be afforded similar protection -- albeit protection of questionable efficacy. The Israeli Supreme Court ruled this week it's the responsibility of the Palestinian Authority and not the state of Israel to protect Palestinians living outside the borders of Israel's administrative authority. Given the current condition of the Palestinian Authority, it is unlikely most Palestinians will be provided gas masks.

    Israeli officials believe the likelihood of an Iraqi attack is remote. Nevertheless, the government is educating its citizens on the correct way to wear a gas mask to avoid the experience of the last Gulf War when the masks proved deadlier than the missiles.

  • I Spy From the Sky

    After a four-year hiatus, U-2 spy planes are once again plying the lower reaches of the stratosphere above Iraq, aiming cameras with lenses as powerful as the Hubble telescope at the earth 10 miles below, scanning for signs of banned weapons.

    Iraq's refusal to allow surveillance flights was condemned by Colin Powell at the United Nations Security Council earlier this month. It appears Saddam's change of heart is one of a series of recent gestures intended to stave off what is increasingly looking like an inevitable war with the United States.

    The U-2 was originally developed by the CIA to conduct aerial surveillance above the range of Soviet radar. It was a U-2 that Frances Gary Powers was piloting when he was shot down over the Soviet Union and taken prisoner in 1960.

    Besides the Soviet Union, U-2s flew missions over China, Vietnam, and the spy plane played a pivotal role in the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962 when it brought back photographs of Soviet medium range missile sites in Cuba.

    The U-2s over Iraq today fly at higher altitudes and are equipped with an array of sophisticated sensors that can see through clouds and penetrate the cover of darkness. One plane is reportedly equipped with a satellite uplink for transmitting images while in flight.

    As the Powers incident demonstrated, the chief drawback of the aircraft is it exposes a pilot to the risk of being captured or killed. And during past U-2 missions over Iraq, pilots have come under fire. What the plane has over its spy satellite counterparts is speed and flexibility. Compared to a U-2, satellites are positively sluggish. They pass over suspected weapons sites every couple of hours, affording a greater window of time for those on the ground to better conceal what they don't want prying eyes from above to see.

  • Korea Can't Wait

    Brent Scowcroft, national security advisor for Bush senior, subtlety chides the current Bush administration for a lack of action on the Korean front. In a recent Washington Post article entitled "Korea Can't Wait," Scowcroft writes that if unchecked, North Korea will eventually be "churning out dozens of bombs' worth of plutonium each year." He says more nukes would spark a nuclear arms race throughout Southeast Asia, and may tempt cash-starved Pyongyang to sell plutonium or atomic bombs to the highest bidder.

  • Iran-Backed Troops in Northern Iraq

    The Financial Times reports that an Iranian-backed force of 5,000 troops have moved into Iraq. The paper says the move came as a surprise to the U.S. officials, who have long been in contact with SCIRI, the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq that is headed by Ayatollah Mohammad Baqir al-Hakim, a Shia Muslim Arab. The BBC quotes SCIRI which denies there is a force thousands strong, and says reporters have pegged the number nearer to 200. Meanwhile, Iran has declared that American fighters are not welcome in Iranian airspace, regardless whether the United Nations approves of the war. The Iranian defense minister threatened a determined response to "avoid the repetition of such any mistake."

  • Rumsfeld's List

    The New York Times today reports that Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld keeps in his desk drawer a inventory of risks involved in invading Iraq and later piecing back together that country. Dangers he cites range from fighting an entrenched force in a civilian urban center to the possibility that Iraq will unleash chemical weapons, and blame it on the United States.

    Rumsfeld's list probably doesn't include risks to the image of America in world opinion. But a long-lasting enmity seems to be developing between "Olde Europe" and America -- though the bulk of the nastiness seems to come from this side of the Atlantic.

    Nor is he liable to list blowback -- the effect that Chalmers Johnson says is the long-term headache of our undertakings overseas. Desert Storm was a military success, but he says blowback from the first Gulf War is still in full gale and it may still be too early to gauge the full social impact. The Gulf War emerges as a common theme in too many of the tragedies in the decade that followed the battles for the liberation of Kuwait. Take a look at the forums concerning Gulf War Syndrome for a taste of the anger left over when fighters feel disenfranchised and ignored.

    American terrorist Timothy McVeigh was awarded the Combat Infantry Badge and the Bronze Star just four years before he killed 168 people in the largest act of domestic terrorism ever seen in America.

    The recent DC sniper shootings were allegedly perpetrated by Gulf War vet John Allen Muhammad. Even the ascendance of Osama bin Laden to the top spot on the most wanted list is traceable to the Persian Gulf 1991. Gore Vidal writes:

    "In 1988, he warned the Saudi king that Saddam Hussein was going to invade Kuwait. Osama assumed that after his own victories as a guerilla against the Russians, he and his organization would be used by the Saudis to stop the Iraqis. To Osama's horror, King Fahd sent for the Americans: thus, were infidels established on the sacred sands of Mohammed. 'This was,' he said, 'the most shocking moment of my life.'"

    There seems little reason to hope that veterans who might return from the second Gulf War in Iraq would be any better integrated. The Fort Bragg murders are reminders that from the from the time of Odysseus, reintegration of warriors into a peaceful society has been a challenge that has left neither the warrior or the society unaffected.

  • Slowing the Unstoppable Force

    As peace marches wended through many of the world's major cities this weekend, there was a sense in some quarters that a war that had seemed inevitable might be avoided.

    Aluf Benn, correspondent to the Israeli paper Haaretz reports that Israel's prime minister doesn't ascribe much importance to diplomatic hurdles. Troop movement is already underway, goes the reasoning, and the United States will begin the war when it has its strength gathered, regardless of international opinion. Benn argues that the Israeli Defense Force has high hopes for the war and a rosy assessment of its outcome for Israel.

    Meanwhile, the anti-war protests around the world were largely peaceful, and considering the numbers of people who came out, reports of arrests were relatively rare. However, one British organizing group threatens that if war is declared, protesters could react violently.

  • My Propaganda, Your Propaganda

    Global Security archives examples of leaflets dropped on Iraq by the No-Fly-Zone-enforcing coalition air force, as well as pamphlets and bumper stickers from anti-war groups.

  • Perpetual Inspections for Perpetual Peace

    After hearing the latest report by weapons inspectors working in Iraq, U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell addressed the United Nations Security Council, [transcript] saying that inspections could not continue to be "endlessly strung out."

    Chief weapons inspector Hans Blix had a mixed review of Iraqi compliance, and a mixed review as well of the evidence that Washington had earlier presented to the council. On Feb. 5, Secretary of State Powell showed satellite photos, which he characterized as the Iraqi government sweeping an arms warehouse clean, before a coming inspection. "The reported movement of munitions at the site could just as easily have been a routine activity as a movement of proscribed munitions in anticipation of an imminent inspection," said Blix.

  • Media Prime for War

    Politics and humanity aside -- financially speaking, covering war is a mixed bag for the media. On one hand, CNN's reputation was forged in the last Gulf War and there are likely other opportunities awaiting news operations to prove their mettle. Nevertheless, war on Iraq looms amid a sharp recession that has left newsrooms strapped, and as it turns out, advertisers prefer their products pushed in prime time, associated with sitcoms, rather than up against the harsh realities of war. Broadcast networks are expected to be hit particularly hard, since they preempt advertising with breaking news. The networks estimate that in the first several days of the Gulf War in 1991, they lost $25 million. Covering Sept. 11, Fox Media says it lost $100 million.

    A London organization called Media Workers Against War is set up for writers and others in the media to register their voices against war with Iraq. The organization was originally founded in the early '90s during the Gulf War, but resurrected after Sept. 2001. The website writes that its meetings are attended by workers for the BBC, ITN, and national newspapers. That may sound like a breach of journalistic objectivity, but "partisan journalism can be good journalism," writes Michael Baron, in an article a few years back, which argues that outright partisanship is preferable to sham objectivity.

  • The New Patriot

    According to the Center for Public Integrity, Attorney General John Ashcroft's Justice Department has drafted a sequel to the U.S. Patriot Act that was passed in the wake of September 11. The law, in draft form called the Domestic Security Enhancement Act of 2003, would further widen government's powers to investigate and gather intelligence on citizens and non-citizens. The full text of the document is available at the Center for Public Integrity.

    The center writes:
    The Bush Administration is preparing a bold, comprehensive sequel to the USA Patriot Act that will give the government broad, sweeping new powers to increase domestic intelligence-gathering, surveillance and law enforcement prerogatives, and simultaneously decrease judicial review and public access to information. The Center for Public Integrity has obtained a draft, dated January 9, 2003, of this previously undisclosed legislation and is making it available in full text. The bill, drafted by the staff of Attorney General John Ashcroft and entitled the Domestic Security Enhancement Act of 2003, has not been officially released by the Department of Justice, although rumors of its development have circulated around the Capitol.

    CNET columnist Declan McCullagh writes that "that the legislation is under consideration already, before we know the effects of its USA Patriot Act predecessor, should make us realize that the Bush administration thinks 'homeland security' is the root password to the Constitution."

    Director of the nonpartisan Center for Public Integrity Chuck Lewis told Bill Moyers.

    There's a lot more authority and power for government. There's less oversight and information about what government is doing. That's the headline and that's the theme. And the safeguards seem to be pretty minimal.

    The Justice Department has yet to acknowledge that the document is valid. "We are continually considering anti-terrorism measures and would be derelict if we were not doing so," a department spokeswoman told the Financial Times.

     

  • Street Fight

    A troubling portrait is being drawn of war fought in Iraqi cities, putting into play a military force that Saddam Hussein has already begun to decentralize.

    In what must be intentionally calibrated to send shivers up the spine of any American who has heard of Hanoi, Lt. General Tawfik al-Yassiri told Reuters: "The Americans will be fighting ghosts. They will find it very hard to know were the enemy is. Those who are betting that Saddam will be defeated quickly are mistaken."

    It won't be a war fought in the desert, or anywhere deserted. Instead, Iraq's elite forces are looking to the most populated areas. They are"prepared for city warfare and have the experience for it," says Yassiri. Others concur.

    Menacing, florid statements are common from Iraq, but these speakers are exiled military officers, not Saddam's spokesmen on a short leash.


  • "Old Europe"

    This editorial in Mother Jones talks about Europe-bashing in conservative media, and whether it's likely to win America friends. And the European's are throwing it right back at us, joined by friends in Canada, South America, Asia, the Middle East...

    Some background on Europe: List in order from one to ten the top ten countries in Europe by military spending. Click here to play. The following is the list of NATO contributions by country.

    ** More of "Old Europe" from Google News

  • Attack and then Tap Iraq?

    Iraq is loaded with oil. Underneath the country's desert sand is the world's second largest oil reserve, largely untapped. The financial stakes are immense for the various players jockeying for control of the spigot in post-Saddam Iraq.

    Some anti-war advocates claim that U.S. military action against Iraq is simply a naked grab for the natural resources of another country. They note the president's connections with the oil industry and the administration's seemingly contradictory approaches to Iraq and North Korea.

    While the president denies U.S. control of oil is the motive for war, his advisors acknowledge the significance of oil to American interests. Oil "finances Mr. Hussein's ambitions, and those ambitions threaten oil producers such as Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, which are vital to U.S. energy security."

    It has been reported in the event of war with Iraq, the Pentagon plans to seize oilfields to prevent Saddam Hussein from setting them on fire as his did in Kuwait during the first Gulf War. How long the U.S. plans to control the oilfields is a matter of some speculation. Newsday recently reported that plans exist to tap into Iraq's oil wealth to help finance the cost of a U.S. military occupation of the country.

  • Secret Government

    If you missed it this past weekend, "Secret Government" on This American Life explores the issue of Jose Padilla, the American citizen who was accused of a plot to explode a "dirty bomb," and the first citizen to be classified as an enemy combatant, and put in military confinement.

    It's rare that current events are told in such a compelling narrative. Hitt makes habeas corpus and the intricacies of national security law interesting to a wide audience.

    Enemy Combatant is a new term to fit the new war on terrorism. Padilla lost his lawyer when he was redefined as an enemy combatant, and was caught in a catch 22, said his lawyer: with no access to a lawyer, he is unable to file a complaint that he has no access to a lawyer.

    Hitt sheds light on the historic implications of the case, explains habeas corpus clearly, and talks about the history of the constitution and national security.

    Padilla's lawyer says the reason Padilla was called an enemy combatant, and his right to a lawyer taken away, and held without charge, was not the strength of the evidence against him, but the opposite - the lack of evidence against him.

    "They have less evidence against Mr. Padilla. So, they can't bring charges. You see, they don't have probable cause to bring a charge. They certainly couldn't prove a charge. So, their solution, which is very frightening, is 'If we can't prove a case, we simply get rid of the individual. We simply lock them up,' and that turns our criminal justice system upside down."

    The question of government secrecy will become even more important if the U.S. goes to war in Iraq, and access to information will likely be further restricted.

  • Related Link: www.chargepadilla.org

    "Iraq-Time" For Israel
    Arafat's headquarters is essentially a debris pile -- yet another dramatic reminder of the relative impotence of the Palestinian Authority when confronting Israel's armed might -- but the Sharon government is not crowing over any victory. The siege of the Palestinian leader's compound resurrected Arafat's flagging political fortunes and shifted global attention from Iraq. The White House wasn't pleased with either result - particularly the latter - and worried a prolonged siege would peel away tacit Arab support for toppling Saddam, pressured the Israelis to withdraw. An Ha'aratz opinion piece notes that the Middle East "is moving into a window of time that might be called 'Iraq-time.'" Israel must now carefully weigh its actions with reference to American plans for Iraq. "Iraq-time" constrains Israel's options: "Until the war on Iraq begins and ends - and it won't be overnight - Israel's hands are tied. It can forget about big-time operations like conquering Gaza or deporting leaders."

    War of Words
    Tempers flared as accusations of politicizing the debate over Iraq were hurled back and forth between Republicans and Democrats last week. From the Senate Floor, an incensed Majority Leader Thomas A. Daschle (D-S.D.) castigated President Bush Wednesday for his "outrageous" remark that Senate Democrats were "not interested in the security of the American people."

    Roll Call notes the president's comments were in the context of criticism of Daschle's position on homeland security and did not directly concern Iraq. This distinction however, seemed lost on both Republicans and Democrats. In his riposte to Daschle, Senate Minority Leader Trent Lott (R-Miss.) said "Who's the enemy here: the president of the United States or Saddam Hussein?"

    The Washington Post has posted the full transcript of the Daschle speech.

    Call for Submissions
    When George W. Bush entered the White House, foreign policy was not widely regarded as his strong suit. Now it has come to define his presidency. Who in the administration has the ear of the president when it comes to committing the U.S. to a course of action abroad? Email your choices to: iraq@wbur.org

    Mushroom Clouds
    New York Times correspondent Judith Miller thinks war with Iraq is all but inevitable. She shared that prognostication Tuesday before a packed house at the University of Minnesota campus. The Pulitzer prizewinner says allusions to "mushroom clouds over American cities" by White House officials convinced her of their intention to rid the world of Saddam Hussein.

    Some of Miller's other observations:

    • Bin Laden (remember him?) is dead. If still alive, his gargantuan ego would have compelled him to speak out the anniversary of 9/11. She believes Bin Laden and his top lieutenant are entombed in a cave.
    • Saddam "really is a kind of serial killer" (no huge surprise there).
    • The White House has an "Iraqi thing." Part of it stems from Saddam threatening George Bush Sr.; part of it due to a desire "to remake the map of the Mideast."
    • She questions that ability of the U.S. to simultaneously press the war against Al Qaeda and invade, occupy, and rebuild Iraq.
    Ms. Miller was guest on The Connection segment about the Al Qaeda training video.

    Speaking of mushroom clouds, mail is starting to trickle in from the hawks:

      Back in the '80s, Iraq was very close to building a nuclear weapon and Israel had intelligence to confirm it, they did not wait around for the Germans and French to come on board they went out and destroyed Iraq's nuclear facility. For that I applaud them. The United Nations is spineless. I say we do what we have to do for self-preservation, alone if need be.
      -- MARK HIGGINS, Boston, MA (Sept. 24)
      You can either attack Iraq now or wait until an atomic bomb is exploded in Los Angeles. It's your choice.
      -- ILIA SOKOLINSKI , Brighton, MA (Sept. 23)

    British Dossier
    Blair says Iraq can launch missiles in under an hour. Click here to read the UK's case against Iraq (PDF file).

    Survivor
    Arafat has been on political life support with his popularity with Palestinians plunging to just 35 % according to one recent poll. Since the Israeli siege of his compound, Palestinians have taken to the streets to support Arafat, the international community has taken Israel to task, and even the White House rebuked the Sharon government. Once again the Palestinian issue threatens to make things very complicated for the U.S. in its efforts to win support for military action against Iraq.

    War with Iraq and its significance for the Palestinian -- Israeli conflict was examined Tuesday on The Connection.

    War Drums Along the Potomac/Dog Wagging
    That deafening silence you hear is heated public debate on the state of the nation's economy...

    A recent article in the radical ZMagazine says the war drums banging loudly are meant to distract media attention from the sluggish recovery and corporate scandal that hits too close to home for a very pro-business White House.

    Though rather reticent publicly, Democrats are suspicious of the president's timing, given the proximity of the midterm elections writes The Washington Post's Dana Milbank. Talk of war shifts the nation's attention away from the bread and butter issues Democrats believe they can win with in November. Despite their suspicions, Hill Democrats have been nearly unanimous in their support of a hard line against Iraq, fearing the political consequences of opposing the White House on matters of national security.

    It was inevitable that the "Wag the Dog" metaphor would seep into the debate over Iraq (as it did for former president Clinton as impeachment heated up). And several of you have written to us mirroring this theme:

      The rationale for this war does not seem to be what the administration is saying it is. So is it to get oil? To cover up domestic issues and problems that they are not addressing? To provide and exit strategy from Afghanistan before our real work there is done? Or is it just about politics?
      GAIL and HARRY WRIGHT (Sept 18, 2002)
      (The Bush administration's) failed economic, international and domestic policies are cause for a political sea change in this election year, if only these issues were not obscured by the daily beating of war drums.
      -- EDWARD MALONEY, Cambridge, MA (Sept 18, 2002)
      The Iraq "war" is a totally manufactured event by George W. & Co.
      -- PATRICIA BROWN (Sept 19, 2002)
      ...it seems all the drama being staged before the American people and Congress is just that - staged drama.... we're going to war anyway.
      -- ANGELA CLAYTON (Sept 19, 2002)

    Kevin Phillips cautions that even if President Bush does "carry the day with trumpets and troopships," the economy will soon force its way back onto the political frontburner (as Bush Sr. discovered much to his regret). Phillips sites some pretty grim statistics concerning the nation's economic health and uneven distribution of wealth:

  • The average household in the lowest fifth of the population saw its adjusted after-tax cash income drop from $9,300 to $8,700.
  • The average household in the middle fifth made a slight gain from $31,700 to $33,200.
  • The average top 1 percent household, by contrast, chalked up an 18-year real, spendable gain of $388,000 -- from $256,000 to $644,000.

    Moreover, Phillips cautions against the common assumption wars are good for the economy. History, he writes, tells us wars "often have different long-term effect on a nation's wealth than early drumbeaters imagined."

    Phillips was expounding his economic theories on WBUR'S The Connection back in May. You can listen to the entire audio of that segment from this page.

    It's the Economy Stupid?
    The decade-old saw "It's the economy stupid" was turned on its head by the recent German national elections. Defying the oddsmakers, Gerhard Schroeder won't be sent packing from the chancellor's office after all. His Red-Green coalition eked a razor thing win against Edmund Stoiber's Christian Democrats. This despite a lethargic German economy and unemployment rate of 10 percent. Stoiber largely benefited from the German public's overwhelming opposition to Germany's participation in a military coalition against Iraq. Stoiber hammered away at this theme ad nauseum, much to the consternation of the Bush administration writes Steven Komarow in USA TODAY: "No postwar German government has staked out a position so opposed to U.S. foreign policy. Infuriating the White House, Schroeder promised that even if the United Nations sanctioned the military action, Germany and its troops would have no part in it."

    Needless to say, Schroeder didn't get a congratulatory call from President Bush who is undoubtedly still smarting from that Hitler crack.

    Rumsfeld's No Comment Comment:
    "I have no comment on the German elections outcome, but I would have to say that the way it was conducted was notably unhelpful."

    International Reactions
    Iraq says the weapons inspectors can return. Here is a sample of world reaction courtesy the BBC:

    "The Iraqi decision is what the international community, including China, has always hoped to see." -- Chinese Foreign Minister Tang Jiaxuan

    "Thanks to our joint efforts, we managed to avert the threat of a war scenario and go back to political means of solving the Iraqi problem" -- Russian Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov

    "Dishonest people know how to overcome this easily. Anyway, we have to remember that the secretary-general presented a few other demands, this is not the only demand. " -- Israeli Foreign Minister Shimon Peres

    No Nukes?
    Scott Ritter is taking more heat for his claim that Iraq is "qualitatively disarmed." Ritter, a former U.N. weapons inspector, Marine, and self-described conservative Republican, has been making the rounds on the cable news networks in recent months, arguing that before committing the nation to a course of war, the administration must substantiate its charges that Saddam Hussein possess weapons of mass destruction.

    Ritter appeared on CSPAN Monday to read a speech he delivered before a special session of Iraq's National Assembly, the first American citizen to address the group. In the speech, Ritter said the Bush administration is actively making a case for war and he urged Iraq to admit weapons inspectors in order to avert one. Listen to the entire speech.

    Toronto Star columnist Antonia Zerbisias says that cable news talking heads have been particularly harsh on Ritter, impugning his patriotism and credibility. Zerbias says one on-air personality (whom she likens to a "professional hairdo") even went so far as to tell viewers Ritter had "drunk Saddam Hussein's Kool-Aid."

    Got Nukes!
    Contradicting Ritter is a former Iraqi scientist who makes the alarming assertion that Saddam is just months away from obtaining "the bomb." Dr. Khidir Hamza, instrumental in starting Iraq's nuclear weapons program, tells the U.K. Times that Baghdad was able to cobble together a centrifuge and smuggle in enough uranium from Brazil to produce at least three atomic bombs.

    The Bush "Ultimatum"
    The Christian Science Monitor reports the president's U

    N speech amounts to an ultimatum: "Either you enforce UN resolutions against Saddam Hussein's misbehavior, or I will." http://www.csmonitor.com/2002/0913/p01s01-uspo.html

    Decide for yourself. Here is the full transcript of the speech courtesy The White House: http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2002/09/print/20020912-1.html

    A November Surprise?
    Fifty four days, 7 hours and 19 seconds until a war with Iraq, so read a countdown clock the last time we checked GlobalSecurity.org. The precision of their prediction may be facetious, but it is rooted in some fact -- facts that most of the rest of the media overlook they claim. They've got an eye on the movement of aircraft carriers to the Persian Gulf region, the HQ of Central Command's move to Qatar, and the political implications of the November 3rd general elections in Turkey.

    War Games
    In the event of an invasion of Iraq, U.S. forces will have a run for their money if they encounter an unorthodox military strategist the likes of retired Lieutenant General Paul Van Riper. Cast in the role of a dictator of a hypothetical Middle Eastern country in the Pentagon's Millennium Challenge war game, Van Riper commanded forces pitted against invading U.S. planes and warships. GlobalSecurity.org reports that Van Riper's naval maneuvers were so successful that he sunk 16 American ships. The Pentagon then paused the game, resurrected the sunken flotilla, and told the "Dictator" to ignore the invading forces. In the end, the U.S. team won a decisive victory.

    Going it Alone
    Secretary of Defense Rumsfeld on international coalitions:
    "Wars can benefit from coalitions of the willing, to be sure, but they should not be fought by committee. The mission must determine the coalition. The coalition must not determine the mission."

    In his inimitable style, wordsmith and conservative columnist William F Buckley, dismisses the objections of the European Union and most of the rest of the world to U.S. military action against Iraq as "palaver" (a Dictionary.com word of the day), insisting that the U.N. already authorized the U.S. to enforce sanctions in 1991, thus legitimating any future action against Iraq.

    How to Win Friends and Influence People
    A look to the Left shows The Nation with "Antiwar Resources" headlining their site. It's less a news story, and more a call-to-action, providing its readers with how-to kit for protesting a war in Iraq. The magazine asks its readers to contact their elected representatives, and excerpt an article published in the September 2nd edition. "Clip or copy these questions and include them in letters to your representatives, friends, family and foes," writes the Nation's editors.

    Found it on the Web:
    The Iraq Conundrum: Special Coverage from WBUR
    President Bush warned Iraqi President Saddam Hussein to admit U.N. weapons inspectors or face the consequences. When asked what those consequences might be, Bush responded "He'll find out." (11/27/01)

    The Iraq Hawks: New Yorker
    Seymore Hersh reports on the debate within the Bush administration over whether Iraq should be the next stop on Bush's war on terrorism.

    Think Again: Attacking Iraq: Foreign Policy
    "A skeptical look at the sound bites suggests that the greatest risk of attacking Iraq may not be a vengeful Saddam or a destabilized Middle East but the unraveling of the global coalition against terrorism. " - Mark Strauss.

    Evidence Against Iraq?: National Review
    William F. Buckley Jr. opines we don't need conclusive evidence to issue an ultimatum against Iraq, in an editorial from last year.

    Overthrowing Saddam: National Review
    A national security analyst for the National Review says that the question whether to overthrow Saddam is over. Now, the question is: How?

    Who's Next: National Review
    Eli J. Lake presents arguments in the National Review Eli J. Lake presents arguments for who the U.S. should attack next in the war on terrorism, looking at "three leading candidates:" Yemen, Somalia, and Iraq.

    Saddam scorns threats to Iraq: BBC
    Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein says that "evil tyrants and oppressors" will not be able to unseat him and his government.

    Bush is intent on painting allies and enemies in the Middle East as evil: The Independent
    Robert Fisk argues right-wing Israeli think thanks and lobbyists hold considerable sway within some quarters of the Bush administration and are pressing for the removal of Saddam Hussein as but one of numerous actions that expand American and Israeli power in the Middle East.

    Albert Interviews Chomsky on Iraq : Z Magazine
    The Z Magazine founder and editor put a dozen questions to Noam Chomsky about U.S. military actions against Iraq. The first three questions and Chomsky's response to them are posted on the Z Magazine website.


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