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Suburban Foreclosure Wave Threatens Economic Recovery

Published October 14, 2009  Updated December 1

By Curt Nickisch (WBUR)

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Jon Davis handles 10 percent of the state’s foreclosure auctions. The Marshfield lawyer has been watching these auctions migrate from places such as Dorchester and Lowell.

“Now you’ll see them in the Sudburys, the Hinghams and the Westons,” Davis said, “where you wouldn’t have in the past expected to see foreclosures.”

The reason for these auctions is not the crazy interest-rate mortgages. It’s the recession. Nowadays, people are losing their homes the way they used to before the sub-prime crisis.

Snapshot Of A Suburban Foreclosure
7 Beechwood Ave., Sudbury, Mass.

1014_foreclosure-use

(Curt Nickisch/WBUR)

The facts:

  • Single-family colonial house
  • 1,770 square feet
  • 3 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom
  • Built in 1995

The figures:

  • Purchased: $410,000 in Nov. 2003
  • Assessed value: $420,800
  • Foreclosed: Oct. 1, 2009
  • Sale price at foreclosure auction: 1 bid at opening price of $365,000

“Historically, people lost their home when they lost their job, they lost their health or they lost their spouse,” said Nick Retsinas, a housing market economist at Harvard University.

Unemployment is to blame again today. The number of foreclosure proceedings in Massachusetts has jumped an alarming 150 percent.

In fact, people under foreclosure I talked to in Sudbury didn’t want to be interviewed for this story. They said they’re ashamed — to have lost their jobs; to have run out of savings; to not be able to make their payments.

Whitney Tilson, a Harvard Business School grad and money manager, said, “the number of distressed homes coming through the pipeline has actually never been greater than right now.”

Tilson said Sudbury is a good example of what this coming wave could do to the market. Only seven homes above $1,000,000 have sold in the town this year. Last year it was 43, and that was a bad year.

“The listed prices appear to show that prices are holding up, but that’s phony,” Tilson said. “So what breaks the logjam? The wave of foreclosures working their way through the pipeline.”

Foreclosed properties priced to sell will push housing prices down and push more homeowners under water and into foreclosure. And that could really hurt regional banks.

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Mass. Lawmakers Review Closure Of Drug Abuse Center

Published September 30, 2009

By Deborah Becker (WBUR)

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Brockton District Court has one of the highest number of cases involving mental health in Massachusetts. That includes cases where someone asks a judge to involuntarily commit a loved one for substance abuse treatment. It’s called having someone “sectioned” or “sectioned 35″ — named after the state law that allows civil commitments for those who won’t get treatment on their own.

It happens as often as eight times a day in Brockton, when the judge must ask a state psychologist for an emergency recommendation.

One option for judges is to send a person into treatment for 30 days. For the men and women not considered too dangerous to themselves or others, the court can send them to a Department of Public Health facility or to private treatment.

But for men whose loved ones ask the court to civilly commit them in a secure facility, there is only one place to go: the Massachusetts Alcohol and Substance Abuse Center, or MASAC, in Bridgewater.

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The Podcast: Hyatt Hotels Under Fire For Inhospitality

Published September 25, 2009

This week on The Bottom Line podcast: Hyatt fires its Boston-area housekeepers. The governor threatens a boycott, and the hotel company stands firm. Also, why some companies are giving more paid sick days this fall. And the recession hits a New England sport hard — you probably can’t guess which one.

Hosted by Curt Nickisch.

The Podcast: The Education Edition: Midnight Classes And Luxury Dorms

Published September 11, 2009

This week on The Bottom Line podcast: Community college students “bunker in” to get their education. Turns out the changing economy is changing higher ed. And we’ll have another example from the high-end of the spectrum. Plus, a new business library in Boston.

Hosted by Curt Nickisch.

It’s Midnight. Why Aren’t You In Class?

Published September 10, 2009

By Bianca Vazquez Toness (WBUR)

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The recession has sent more people back to school, and Massachusetts is no different. At Bunker Hill Community College in Boston, enrollment is up 23 percent since last year. The college is taking extraordinary steps to address the lack of space and the needs of working students — midnight classes.

Hector Gonzalez is late for the 11:45 class. But he stops in the lobby for coffee. He’ll need it to get through the almost three hour lecture.

“Basically, this was the only class of psychology that was open,” he says, stirring creamer into his coffee.

Tanneke Burns is taking two midnight classes. The mother of five, who draws blood for the Red Cross, wants to be a nurse. (Bianca Vazquez Toness/WBUR)

Tanneke Burns is taking two midnight classes. The mother of five, who draws blood for the Red Cross, wants to be a nurse. (Bianca Vazquez Toness/WBUR)

Gonzalez is a police officer in Chelsea. He works at 7 a.m., but he needs Psychology 101 for his criminal justice degree. “I’d prefer to take it in-person,” he says, instead of online classes. “I’d rather have a teacher.”

Professor Kathleen O’Neill is standing in front of a classroom of 20 people. “When you think of psychology, what do you think of?,” she asks the group.

“The brain,” one student calls out.

“Yes, the brain,” O’Neill says. “Good. What else?”

O’Neill came up with the idea of these midnight sessions to deal with the increased enrollment at Bunker Hill Community College.

“There are so many students that want to come here, it would make sense to run it overnight,” she says. “Having teenagers myself I know they’re up at midnight. So, I thought why not just run it overnight and see what happens.”

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The Podcast: Sen. Kennedy's Economic Legacy

Published August 28, 2009

This week on The Bottom Line podcast: We remember Sen. Edward M. Kennedy. The congressional titan is being laid to rest this weekend after a funeral here in Boston. As the nation recalls his enormous legacy as a lawmaker, we look at the economic impact in Massachusetts of that sweeping political record. Also, another federal law with enormous economic impact gets a lift: the new GI bill. And, Boston cabbies try to stretch out the miles.

Hosted by Curt Nickisch.

The Podcast: Fishing For Less, Living With Less

Published August 14, 2009

This week on The Bottom Line podcast: Lobstermen in Massachusetts are catching plenty of lobsters this summer, but they can’t seem to catch a break. Also, two very different stories of living with less — from two very different women.

Guest hosted by Andrew Phelps.

It's A Buyer's Market On The Cape

Published August 14, 2009

By Monica Brady-Myerov (WBUR)

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Bill Silver is trying to sell a one-story, weathered shingle home that he calls cute. “Now I don’t have any taste, so I don’t know what cute is,” says Silver, a real-estate agent with Kinlin Grover in Harwichport, “but I know that the buyers think it’s cute.”

The two-bedroom house is decorated with eclectic art and painted furniture. It’s on the market for $425,000, which is $25,000 less than the owners were asking a few months ago. And if there are no offers in the next few months, Silver says they’ll have to go lower still.

This two-bedroom home in Harwichport is on the market for $425,000, which is $25,000 less than the owners were asking a few months ago. (Courtesy of Kinlin Grover GMAC Real Estate)

This two-bedroom home in Harwichport is on the market for $425,000, which is $25,000 less than the owners were asking a few months ago. (Courtesy of Kinlin Grover GMAC Real Estate)

“The market talks to you. It says hello or it doesn’t talk to you at all,” Silver says. “So if you’ve done everything you can do to market the house, then in the end it’s the prices.”

Prices for property on Cape Cod went up 138 percent between 1999 to 2005. Since then, they’ve been falling. Last year, in total, prices fell 13 percent compared to the year before. In the first half of this year, they have taken a 12 percent nosedive.

But the ups and downs of the Cape market are different than the rest of the state because it’s a vacation home market.

“We’re not forced to sell because it’s not our primary residence, but we would like to sell,” says Gail Hickey, who owns the “cute” Harwichport cottage. Her sentiment is shared by most of the sellers on Cape Cod: second-home owners are not under the gun.

Hickey’s vacation home has been on the market for six months. “We haven’t gotten frustrated yet because we put it on the market to see what would happen,” she says. “We’re not chomping at the bit because it’s not selling, we’re willing to wait until the market opens up.”

But so far the market continues to fall.

Aglaia Pikounis, with the real-estate data firm The Warren Group, says tumbling prices are affecting all towns on the Cape. “Take Truro, it’s dipped 39 percent, Pikounis says. “Another area with a steep decline in prices was Osterville. There were 18 single-family home sales in the first half of the year, and the median prices dipped about 37 percent.”

Real-estate trackers warn these numbers don’t mean all home values are down by this much, it most likely means only smaller, lower-priced homes are selling. And prices are being driven down by foreclosures and short sales. Hyannis is one of the 10 communities with the highest foreclosure rates in the state.

One buyer, Mark Andrade, was surprised when he went bargain hunting. “As we went into it, we thought the prices would be lower than they actually were,” Andrade says, “that part of the Cape — the Outer Cape, Eastham, Wellfleet and Truro — was holding their own as far as the market goes.”

Still, Andrade found what he thought was a good deal, a four-bedroom house in Eastham for $435,000, and bought the vacation home in June.

Andrade is the exception. What’s really distressing real-estate agents is the slow pace of sales.

“Lately, it’s pretty ugly,” says real-estate agent Bob Sheldon, who sells second homes in Eastham on the Outer Cape. “What’s happened is that the people who are in our traditional middle space, which is somewhere between $450,000 and $600,000, there’s nobody buying. Zero.”

In Eastham, 30 homes sold in the first half of this year, 33 percent fewer than the same time last year. Cape-wide, sales are down 21 percent, double the state’s rate.

Agent Bill Silver said the market abruptly changed last fall when the market plunged. “It sent a lot of buyers home,” he said. “It sent many of my buyers home, I know that because they were afraid of jobs.” Now buyers are waiting — waiting for the bottom or to see if their company will have layoffs or if the stock market will go up.

Real-estate agents always say now is the perfect time to buy. But agents on Cape Cod say now really is a good time, because of the combination of a lot of homes languishing on the market and slumping prices.

The Podcast: The Economy Of Tobacco, Alcohol And Rock 'N' Roll

Published August 7, 2009

This week on The Bottom Line podcast: A disaster declaration is in the works for Massachusetts farmers, who report the worst summer in memory. We smell out the tobacco crop. Also, lower land values are a window of opportunity for conservation measures. Massachusetts gets puritanical and taxes alcohol. That took awhile. And finally, musicians: will strum for cash.

Hosted by Curt Nickisch.

Brother, Can You Spare A Gig?

Published August 7, 2009

By Andrea Shea (WBUR)

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Mezzo-soprano Ja-Nae Duane is in her thirties, but she has been hitting the high notes since she was 13. At age 18, she sang at the White House. She has performed at top venues such as Lincoln Center in New York and Jordan Hall in Boston. Her opera career seemed to be right on track, Duane said, until this year.

“I haven’t done any singing since May,” Duane said.

Video

She was supposed to sing with the Granite State Opera in New Hampshire this season, but “that fell through because they had to shut their doors.” Then, Duane said, the job she won at the Mariinsky Theatre in St. Petersburg, Russia, was canceled because of funding issues.

“To have two gigs fall through within three weeks of one another is devastating,” Duane said. “It’s one thing to be a musician and not be able to do it full time because you can’t afford it as a singer, but it’s another thing to have these little glimmers of light just sort of dash away.”

Finding humor in the situation, Duane laughed, adding, “It’s been an interesting year.”

The life of a freelance musician has never been easy, but the current economic downturn is making things a lot harder for working performers in all genres. CD sales are down; orchestras are slashing budgets; gigs at weddings, corporate events and rock clubs are drying up.

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The Podcast: With A Recovery Like This, Who Needs Recessions?

Published July 31, 2009

This week on The Bottom Line podcast: Nothing like a little taxation to dampen the stimulus. The state sales tax jumps 1.25 percent this weekend. And with a recovery like this, who needs recessions? We talk to a Newsweek writer who says this will be no ordinary rebound. And the future of 401(k)s.

Hosted by Curt Nickisch.

Mass. Liquor Stores Fear Sales Tax Will Send Customers Across The Border

Published July 31, 2009

By Curt Nickisch (WBUR)

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At Shamrock Liquor, the cashier is bagging wine bottles for a customer.

Four or five miles from the New Hampshire border, the package store’s proximity to the neighboring state is a problem for manager Joe Comeau.

New Hampshire has no sales tax.  So Comeau is afraid, starting Saturday when Massachusetts starts taxing retail alcohol by 6.25 percent, that his customers will drive those extra few miles to save money.

A sign at Shamrock Liquors in Haverhill bemoans the new state sales tax for alcohol, which has store owners fearing customers will head for tax-free New Hampshire. (Curt Nickisch/WBUR)

A sign at Shamrock Liquors in Haverhill bemoans the new state sales tax for alcohol, which has store owners fearing customers will head for tax-free New Hampshire. (Curt Nickisch/WBUR)

“I can’t afford to advertise,” Comeau says, “because what I’m advertising is the gross discrepancy in my price with the state of New Hampshire!”

On the front door of the store, Comeau has posted a sign expressing sarcastic thanks to our “fearless leader,” Gov. Deval Patrick.

Haverhill retiree Bruce Miller nods in agreement with the sign as he pushes a cart out of the store. “Enough’s enough. People are losing their jobs,” he says. “For the small establishments around the borders — Methuen, Haverhill, Lawrence — it’s a killer.”

It’s not just the liquor stores close to the border that are worried about losing sales.

“Certainly it won’t be as immense an effect on us as it will be on the folks up near the border,” says Joe Camm, who manages Gordon’s Fine Wine and Liquors in Waltham. “But we’re certainly going to have some effect.”

Camm thinks some customers who are stocking up for a big party will now make a border run. “I know for people who are really money conscious, and of course it’s more so these days, they just have much more incentive to go up there,” he says. “I would go up there. If I was a 30-pack shopper, if I was a 1.75 liter shopper, Smirnoff or Captain Morgan, I would definitely be getting all of that up there.”

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‘Definite Signs’ Of Mass. Economy Bottoming Out

Published July 29, 2009

By Bob Oakes (WBUR)

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There are signs the Massachusetts economy may be on the rebound. Analysts point to a large drop in new unemployment claims, rising auto sales, a 10 percent jump in home sales in June and increasing consumer confidence.

At the same time, though, analysts say the recovery is only in its early stages and that unemployment will yet rise.

Cathy Minehan, former head of the Federal Reserve Bank in Boston and now chair of the Governor’s Council of Economic Advisers, joined us to discuss.

Bob Oakes: Do you view these signs as positive signs that maybe the economy is starting to rebound?

Cathy Minehan (AP)

Cathy Minehan (AP)

Cathy Minehan: I definitely look at them as positive signs. I do not think the rebound is going to be really fast or really strong, but it’s certainly better than continuing to decline.

When you look at the data that you mentioned in your introduction, when you look at the leading index that’s prepared by Alan Clayton-Matthews at the University of Massachusetts in Boston, when you look at the data for Massachusetts, when you look at leading indicators, when you look at the data for the national economy, you see either a diminution in the rate of decline or you see things actually starting to turn around.

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The 401(k) Plan As Rainy-Day Fund

Published July 27, 2009

By Bob Oakes (WBUR)

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Zvi Bodie

Zvi Bodie

Short-term financial concerns can trump long-range investing in these tough economic times. Some consumers are sacrificing retirement savings in order to pay for groceries or other household expenses. And a growing number of companies are pulling back from matching 401(k) contribution plans. According to a recent survey by CFO Research Services and Charles Schwab, about a quarter of companies have eliminated employer matching plans or are considering doing so.

Zvi Bodie, an economics and finance professor at the Boston University School of Management, has written widely on pension finance and investment strategy. His latest book is “Worry Free Investing: A Safe Approach to Achieving Your Lifetime Financial Goals.” Bodie came into to our studios to talk about cutbacks and the future of retirement savings.

Bob Oakes: Why are companies suspending or eliminating matching 401(k) contributions under their 401(k) plans?

Zvi Bodie: They’re hurting. And they need cash. And since these matching contributions are discretionary, for the most part, they’re cutting back in this crisis.

Once suspended, do you think they’ll ever return? Some of them probably won’t.

None of the companies I know of have said that they are permanently stopping their matching contributions. They’ve all said that they’re suspending them temporarily. Lots of experts are concerned that individuals are going to take lump-sum distributions from their retirement accounts, and that they’ll never resume them.

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The Podcast: Boston Restaurants Digest Meals Tax

Published July 24, 2009

This week on The Bottom Line podcast: Boston restaurants and hotel managers digest Mayor Menino’s tax hikes. The Boston Newspaper Guild bends and gives in to management. Boston area firms find it’s hard to find good help in this recession. And area arts organizations find it’s hard to be free.

Hosted by WBUR’s Curt Nickisch.

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