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From Wall Street To Weather, Why People Want To Forecast The Future

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Traders work on the floor at the closing bell of the Dow Industrial Average at the New York Stock Exchange on Aug. 16, 2018 in New York. (Bryan R. Smith/AFP/Getty Images)
Traders work on the floor at the closing bell of the Dow Industrial Average at the New York Stock Exchange on Aug. 16, 2018 in New York. (Bryan R. Smith/AFP/Getty Images)

Many people fixate on predictions for what might happen in the near future. But how good are we at making those predictions — about the economy, politics or even the weather?

Here & Now's Jeremy Hobson talks with Dan Gardner (@dgardner), author of "Future Babble" and co-author of "Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction."

This segment aired on October 15, 2018.

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