WBUR Poll: Angus King Heavy Favorite To Replace Sen. Snowe

A new WBUR poll shows former Maine Gov. Angus King as the heavy favorite to replace retiring Republican U.S. Sen. Olympia Snowe. Current poll numbers have King, who is running as an independent, with 50 percent of likely voters, Republican Secretary of State Charlie Summers with 23 percent, and Democratic state Sen. Cynthia Dill with 9 percent.

King, who served as governor of the state from 1995 to 2003, benefits from a large advantage in name recognition and a 60 percent favorability. By comparison, 71 percent of voters did not offer an opinion of Dill and 57 percent did not rate Summers.

It’s clear Snowe is retiring on a high note, with an 82 percent approval rating. The poll shows she has great cross-party appeal — her approval rating among Democrats is actually 3 percent higher, at 85 percent.

Snowe’s counterpart, Republican Sen. Susan Collins, remains popular in the state with an 80 percent approval rating.

Other highlights from the poll:

  • President Obama holds a 14-point lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney: Obama remains popular in Maine. His current lead is not far from his 18-point margin of victory in 2008. Both Obama and Romney are tied among male voters, but it’s Obama’s 26-point lead among female voters that gives him the advantage over Romney.
  • Maine’s referendum legalizing same-sex marriage appears likely to pass: WBUR’s poll follows national polls, which show increasing acceptance of same-sex marriage. The WBUR poll shows Democrats and independents favor the measure, while Republicans oppose it.
  • Gov. Paul LePage remains a polarizing figure: Among those polled, 40 percent approve of the job LePage is doing as governor, and 49 percent disapprove. He maintains a 64 percent approval rating among Republicans, compared to 21 percent among Democrats and 36 percent among independents.

The WBUR poll of 506 likely Maine voters has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points and was conducted by the independent think-tank MassINC Polling Group between June 13-14.


Please follow our community rules when engaging in comment discussion on wbur.org.
  • Otis B. Driftwood

     The Republican­­s are the biggest failure of all time. Do we really want to give the enablers of this failure the helm of America again? The republican­s may not want to talk about him but they still want to continue the same failed  policies he instituted­. We should never let them forget this failure or sweep it under the rug.

    Now that’s Failure

    Mission Accomplish­ed……

  • http://twitter.com/Lagwolf Andrew Ian Dodge

    Sorry but this poll is incomplete. There are three other candidates on the ballot in November which you failed to include. Where is Andrew Ian Dodge for instance?

  • http://teapartiers.blogspot.com brucepmajors

    Where is Andrew Ian Dodge?

    • http://twitter.com/NationalStella Adam

      busy shaving votes away from an already-weak Republican candidate, in proud Libertarian tradition.

  • http://twitter.com/NationalStella Adam

    what America really needs right now is another NE quasi-independent who votes the Democrat line while preaching bipartisanship. For sure.

  • http://www.facebook.com/mike.lorrey Mike Lorrey

    Why wasn’t Andrew Ian Dodge included in the poll? He’s the tea party candidate and has the LP’s endorsement.

  • Doc3

    Hopefully the voters will not send another big government spender to office.  We need fiscal sanity in DC not another big government sending like King. 

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Rebecca-Fine/100002306266703 Rebecca Fine

    King has basically screwed over the Democrats from winning this seat.  I was hoping the Democrats would have a chance to win this seat, but the moment Snowe announced she was retiring, King threw himself into the race and ruined that.  King better caucus with the Democrats, that’s all I can say.  Because if he doesn’t, we will end up with a Republican Majority Senate.

    • Tyler Read

      A Republican majority isn’t a sure thing. Aside from my belief that King will caucus with the Democrats, you have a number of states whose senatorial elections can go either way; these states include New Mexico, Virginia, Missouri, Hawaii, Indiana, North Dakota, Massachusetts, and even Ohio.

      It’s possible that the presidential race will help pick these senators by giving voters a party to stick to. 2012 has been and will continue to be an excitingly unpredictable year for American politics.

    • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_GGQZIXE7MV35GBOFHDPZ5ECJ5A Rulz

       We’ll have a republican senate no matter what happens in Maine. I suspect that King will be strong-armed by the likes of Reid and Schumer, and that Maine voters by and large won’t have any problem with it.

  • JohnGaltNC

    Look at the  latest likely voter polls average over the last month.  Republicans are leading in Mass +1, Missouri +12, Montana +5, Nevada +11, North Dakota  +3, Virginia +3.5, and Wisconsin +12.  That’s 52 Republican Seats.  With Sanders (Socialist) voting with the Democrats we’re at 52 – 47.  
        King might want to have a say in what actually happens in the Senate + the country.  If he does, he’ll caucus with the (new) majority Republicans…

Most Popular