Dr. Julian Bailes isn't a household name. Not like, say, actor Alec Baldwin. But the two are linked on this issue — Baldwin played Bailes in the movie Concussion. Bailes chairs the department of neurosurgery at NorthShore University Health System in the Chicago area; he wasn't involved with Goldstein's study, but followed the work and calls it "good science."

"It's a comprehensive study," he says, "and I believe it adds a lot to our knowledge and the medical literature concerning this topic." Bailes says the work dovetails with findings he and others published in 2013.

"We've known for a few years that it's not just the known or diagnosed concussions that may increase risk for [CTE]," Bailes says. "It's probably the exposure. It's how many hits to the head that have occurred and at what velocity and what extent."

He notes the first case of CTE for an NFL player, discovered by his colleague Dr. Bennet Omalu, was the late center Mike Webster who "played football 27 years and never had a known or diagnosed concussion."

Bailes thinks the study published Thursday adds to the evolving narrative about head impact and the long-term consequences. "It certainly adds to our science and our understanding," Bailes says. "And hopefully it adds to greater protection, greater safety and the ability for all ages to enjoy contact sports."

The NFL Players Association agrees, saying in a statement:

"We stood firm against an [expanded] 18-game schedule and insisted on changes to the work rules in 2011 to limit contact of all types to protect players, and this study reinforces we made the right decision. We have been in close touch with the researchers at Boston University, who are also members of our Mackey-White Health and Safety committee, and we will review this study carefully to consider future changes to improve the health and safety of our players."

Delay start of tackle football for kids?

Still, Goldstein and Nowinski aren't so sure young kids should be playing contact sports at all.

"The longer you play, and the earlier you start playing, you'll suffer more head hits [and put yourself at] greater the risk for CTE," Goldstein says. "That's what all the evidence [in the study] was suggesting."

He and Nowinski believe student-athletes shouldn't play tackle football until high school.

But Bailes disagrees.

For the past seven years, he has served as the volunteer chairman of the medical advisory committee for Pop Warner, one of the oldest and largest youth football organizations in the U.S.

Bailes doesn't believe the study offers evidence that early exposure to head hits makes a football player more likely to develop CTE. Six years ago, he notes, Pop Warner became the first football organization at any level to legislate against having head contact drills in practice. Since that time, from the NFL on down, Bailes says, there has been a marked reduction in styles of practice or techniques that lead to gratuitous head contact. And new rules at all levels have helped eliminate egregious open-field head hits or head targeting, he says.

Urging kids to play flag football until high school wouldn't actually provide the solution people seek, Bailes says. High school is when the real risk to student-athletes begins.

"That's where the players become man-sized and run fast and have high velocity collisions and hundreds of them a year," Bailes says. As to the question of where to draw the line in terms of what age kids should start playing tackle football — "this study doesn't answer that," Bailes says. "There's been no answer to that question."

It's an individual choice, he believes; parents and kids need to consider the risks and benefits.

Bailes thinks playing football before the age of 14 or 15 can have many benefits.

And, he notes, everything is relative.

"There are about 10 people who drown every day in the U.S.," he says, citing statistics from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, "and we're not calling to outlaw swimming."

Brain injuries that transcend football – and sports

The debate over when or even if kids should play tackle football will continue as the science of head injury evolves.

Both Bailes and Goldstein are a big part of that evolution. Right now, CTE can only be diagnosed after death, but both scientists are working, independently of each other, on a test intended to detect CTE in living brains. Such a test would help determine how widespread the disease is and, beyond that, how to develop treatment.

In the meantime, Goldstein hopes his study finds applications not just in football, but in other sports, like soccer and lacrosse, where contact and collisions include hits to the head.

And beyond sports, Goldstein says, hits to the head affect the most vulnerable segments of society. He has a long list.

"Intimate partners who are having repetitive head injuries," he notes," domestic violence victims, homeless, children at risk, people in our prison systems. [With] all of these people, we need to take the focus off concussion and find out if they have injured brains."

Copyright NPR 2021.